Prediction News Network delivers clear context and insight on tradable events, informed both by the event itself and the current price.

Trending: CNN reports that the search for the Brown University shooter enters its fourth day, with the FBI releasing photos of the suspect. Will the Brown University shooter be arrested by December 19?

Today’s Rundown

What’s Happening: Trump has narrowed the Fed Chair race to two Kevins — Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett — and the public signaling is now unmistakable. Warsh vaulted into frontrunner status after Trump told the WSJ he’s choosing between Hassett and Warsh, with political allies reportedly making the case that Warsh would ease market fears about Fed independence.

Hassett, meanwhile, is Trump’s longtime economic confidant and a vocal low-rates advocate, but recent pushback suggests Wall Street is uneasy about how closely aligned he is with the Oval Office. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent — now effectively quarterbacking the process — has praised both as “very, very qualified.”

Market Pricing

Scenarios

If Trump wants maximum market stability…
Warsh’s profile as a former Fed governor and his perceived independence make him the lower-volatility pick. Trump allies advocating for credibility could tip him across the finish line.

If loyalty and rate-cut alignment dominate the decision…
Hassett’s deep relationship with Trump and clear dovish stance keep him alive. His public insistence on Fed independence may be aimed at calming bond markets ahead of a potential nomination.

If Trump reanimates pressure on Powell or signals urgency on cuts…
That dynamic favors the candidate more willing to push early, aggressive easing — again, a boost to Hassett, who has openly called for larger cuts.

Trading Takeaway: This is a two-horse race, and the market has now priced both under 50¢ — creating a clean pair-long structure. Warsh has momentum and establishment cover; Hassett has ideological alignment and Trump-world familiarity. Given the president’s unpredictability and Bessent’s ongoing interviews, owning both under 100¢ total is +EV, with asymmetric upside into an early-January announcement.

Predict: BUY Yes on both Kevins under 50 each

What’s Happening: Trump’s Truth Social post about Rob Reiner — tying the director’s death to “Trump Derangement Syndrome” — has triggered a broad political blowback, including from Republicans who usually avoid criticizing him. Instead of walking it back, Trump doubled down repeatedly throughout Monday, repeating to reporters that Reiner was “a deranged person” and invoking old grievances over the Russia-probe era.

The post in question is still live on Truth Social, and all current reporting centers on the political fallout, Reiner’s legacy, and the homicide investigation involving his son. Nothing in the coverage points to any likelihood that Trump deletes the post voluntarily or that the platform removes it.

Market Pricing

Scenarios

Trading Takeaway:
The tape says it all: persistent selling pressure has crushed the Yes bids, and No is behaving like a collateral-type asset at 94–95¢. Fundamental catalysts favor the status quo — Trump is defending the post publicly, repeatedly, and defiantly.

Trade: Short Yes / Long No at 94–95¢.

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What’s Happening: The NBA Cup comes down to Knicks–Spurs in Vegas — a classic “established contender vs. rising monster” matchup. New York rides a nine-wins-in-10 surge, powered by Jalen Brunson’s absurd scoring run (28.8 PPG; 40 and 35 in the knockout rounds). Mike Brown has tightened the rotation, unlocked spacing with Hart back in the starting group, and leaned into a top-tier offense plus near top-10 defense.

San Antonio arrives with real momentum — Wembanyama returned from his calf injury and immediately detonated OKC’s title path, putting up 22/9/2 in 20 minutes and completely flipping the game defensively. With Fox, Castle, Vassell, Barnes, and Wemby all healthy, the Spurs finally resemble the team their 18–7 record implies. This is Spurs-y basketball again: pace, versatility, and the league’s most fear-inducing rim deterrent.

Game tips at 8:30 p.m. ET from T-Mobile Arena on Prime Video.

Market Pricing

Scenarios

If Brunson keeps shredding drop coverage…
San Antonio concedes mid-range volume, and Brunson is the league’s premier footwork-based pull-up creator. If he gets to his elbow pockets early, New York’s halfcourt machine tilts their way.

If Wembanyama’s minutes increase into the mid-20s or beyond…
The defensive geometry changes instantly — drives disappear, lobs vanish, and Towns is forced outside his comfort zone. Spurs’ offense spikes when Fox can run early offense with Wemby as the vertical anchor.

Trading Takeaway

This is a tight fundamental matchup, but New York’s continuity, rebounding advantage, and Brunson’s unstoppable Cup form give the Knicks a small but real structural edge.

Call: Lean NYK Yes at 56¢ — New York has the more stable pathways, while San Antonio’s upside is tied heavily to Wemby’s minutes, a genuine variable.

🏈 NCAA Football

🏀 NBA

🏒 NHL

🏀 NCAA Men’s Basketball — Top 25

$44,864 — Red Wings bought at 55¢ for Islanders vs. Red Wings by ghostt4

$14,204 — Jacksonville State bought at 51¢ for Troy vs. Jacksonville State by primm

$90,482 — Flyers bought at 48¢ for Flyers vs. Canadiens by Mayuravarma

$14,486 — No sold at 72¢ for Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? by YuoriTiy

$10,379 — Yes bought at 87¢ for Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? by SeniorLaghetto

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Prediction News Network delivers clear context and insight on tradable events.

We’re here to help you cash in on culture - the front page of tradable events, from the latest news to cultural context, and the market signals that tie them together. PNN coverage is informed both by the event itself and the current price, an intersection of culture and the market. For example:

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