Someone just bet $8,082 on Will Virginia redistricting referendum in Virginia pass?, backing the YES outcome at 82¢ a contract. 9,856 YES contracts at 82¢ each, totaling $8,082. The market absorbed the trade as part of a broader YES surge — price climbed from 80¢ to 83¢ over the 49-minute session window. The market now sits at 83¢ bid/ask, implying approximately an 82–83% probability of passage.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 49 minutes (10:57 AM to 11:46 AM ET), YES volume leads $20,441 to $1,380, as price moved from 80¢ to 83¢ (+3¢). One $8,082 YES trade (9,856 contracts) accounts for 37% of the flow.
📊 Last 842 trades: 842 trades over 12.0 hours (11:48 PM to 11:46 AM ET), YES volume leads $53,307 to $12,818, price holding near 83¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.