Prediction News Network delivers clear context and insight on tradable events, informed both by the event itself and the current price.

Trending Today: A judge granted a Justice Department request to unseal Ghislaine Maxwell records in sex trafficking case. Will Trump release any of the Epstein Files?

Today’s Rundown:

What’s Happening: The Colts are down to emergency quarterbacking, losing Daniel Jones (Achilles), Riley Leonard (knee), and already missing Anthony Richardson (IR). That desperation opened the door for a stunning reunion: 44-year-old Philip Rivers, five years removed from his last NFL snap, is back in the building on the Indianapolis practice squad. The Hall-of-Fame semifinalist has history with Shane Steichen, familiarity with Indy’s offensive system, and—per multiple reports—looked good enough in a workout to justify the flier.

Indianapolis sits 8–5 and is clinging to playoff hopes; Rivers represents both a plug-the-leak option and a wild-card swing at stabilizing a collapsing season.

Market Pricing

Scenarios

If Riley Leonard can’t go Sunday against Seattle, the Colts may have no functional option other than elevating Rivers—giving him a direct path to snaps. One clean series, even a kneel-down, resolves this market Yes.

If Leonard plays but aggravates the knee, a mid-game Rivers cameo becomes live. Indy’s OL has been inconsistent, and any in-game injury swing could force Rivers into action.

If Rivers looks overwhelmed in practice—timing, mobility, ability to absorb hits—the Colts may keep him quarantined on the practice squad, opting for Brett Rypien or schematic triage. That keeps No alive into January.

Trading Takeaway

The Colts didn’t sign a 44-year-old grandfather to the practice squad as a ceremonial gesture—they need a playable body immediately. With Leonard week-to-week and no healthy QB certainty, Rivers has a real, near-term path to taking a snap. Liquidity is solid, and the spike was justified, but not fully priced given the Colts’ QB attrition rate.

Lean: Yes at 69¢

Kalshi emailed a clarification last night on the “How many cities will Waymo be operating in at the end of 2025?” market.

Key point:

As of Kalshi’s note, that’s 3:

The market was paused briefly while resting orders cleared and reopened at 7:35 PM ET on Dec 8

What’s Happening: Nick Bosa just hard-launched his relationship with model and matcha entrepreneur Ella Ailiff via a TikTok on Nov. 30, 2025. The video (“Coffee and football Sunday”) shows the pair making espresso and sharing PDA — a clear signal the relationship is real and public. Ailiff has also posted parallel content from Bosa’s house and boat, confirming the pairing. Prior rumors tying Bosa to country star Megan Moroney were shut down in late November, when Moroney told People she is not dating anyone.

This market resolves Yes if Bosa and Ailiff are reported to be engaged before Jan 1, 2027.

Market Pricing

Scenarios

If their public posting cadence accelerates — e.g., shared holidays, family events, or travel — engagement chatter could pick up quickly. Bosa is sidelined with an ACL tear, meaning more off-field time and visibility into the relationship.

If either begins integrating the other into brand projects — Ailiff’s matcha company or Bosa’s coffee TikTok — that can signal durability but not necessarily a near-term engagement timeline.

If offseason rehab keeps Bosa’s schedule compressed and Ailiff continues building her own brand, relationship momentum could stay slow-burn rather than engagement-fast.

Trading Takeaway: This is a low-signal, high-speculation celebrity relationship market. The pair is newly public, not long-established, and there’s zero reporting suggesting engagement discussions. Liquidity is likely thin and sentiment-driven.

Lean No at anything above ~35–40¢.

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What’s Happening: The Knicks (16-7) head into Scotiabank Arena for an NBA Cup quarterfinal with clear momentum — winners of 7 of 8 and fresh off a controlled win over Orlando. Jalen Brunson is carrying a massive on-ball workload, and New York’s offensive identity has tilted toward heavy three-point volume + interior cleaning behind Mitchell Robinson. Karl-Anthony Towns is questionable but practiced Monday, giving them a real possibility of deploying their full frontcourt scoring package.

Toronto (15-10) has hit turbulence, mainly tied to RJ Barrett’s knee injury. Since losing him, they’re 3–5 and 1–7 ATS, with offensive fluidity falling off a cliff. Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram are doing heavy lifting, but Toronto’s last six games show a sharp drop in efficiency, and they’ve now lost three straight at home.

This is also a brutal matchup from a history standpoint — New York has beaten Toronto nine straight times.

Market Pricing

Scenarios:
If Karl-Anthony Towns plays and looks mobile, New York gains a high-efficiency pick-and-pop outlet against Toronto’s deep-drop bigs. That stretches the Raptors’ defense horizontally and opens Brunson’s assist lanes — putting pressure on Barnes/Ingram to generate near-perfect offense to keep pace.

If Toronto’s perimeter defense wins the math battle, limiting New York’s three-point attempts and forcing them into contested mid-range, the Raptors can drag this into a possession-by-possession grinder. Barnes’ shooting uptick plus Ingram’s usage could tilt momentum if they crack 115+.

Trading Takeaway: Macro matchup trends lean heavily New York: stronger rebounding, superior three-point profile, and the Raptors’ offense cratering without Barrett. Toronto’s home splits don’t offer much relief (4–9 ATS), and New York’s pricing push is consistent with fundamentals, not hype. Liquidity is solid, spreads are tight, and the path to a Toronto win requires an outlier three-point surge.

Position: Long New York K at 65¢.

🏀 NBA

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Prediction News Network delivers clear context and insight on tradable events.

We’re here to help you cash in on culture - the front page of tradable events, from the latest news to cultural context, and the market signals that tie them together. PNN coverage is informed both by the event itself and the current price, an intersection of culture and the market. For example:

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