A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will Matteo Berrettini win the KXFOMEN-26?" — the NO side wins if Berrettini does not win the 2026 French Open. 50,000 NO contracts at 93¢ each, totaling $46,500. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade crossed into a thin market; the YES side held at 7¢ with a 1¢ spread absorbing no visible slippage on the NO side. The market currently prices YES at 7¢, implying roughly a 7% probability for Berrettini.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 7.6 hours (7:26 AM to 3:02 PM ET), NO volume leads $49,514 to $7,154, price holding near 7¢. One $46,500 NO trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 82% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.