A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of Brent crude closing above $100.99 on May 29, 2026 — the NO side wins if that outcome does NOT happen. 25,000 NO contracts at 67¢ each, totaling $16,750. With no resting liquidity in the book, the market shows no measurable slippage from this trade. YES sits at 34¢ bid, implying roughly a 34% probability that Brent crude closes above $100.99.
📊 Last 11 trades: 11 trades over 9.5 hours (5:13 AM to 2:41 PM ET), NO volume leads $16,759 to $24, price holding near 34¢. One $16,750 NO trade (25,000 contracts) accounts for 100% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.