A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $90.01 by May 29, 2026?" — the NO side wins if that outcome does NOT happen. The trade covered 25,000 NO contracts at 30¢ each, totaling $7,500. With no resting liquidity and zero reported volume in the market, the book showed no meaningful absorption data to assess slippage. The market currently prices YES at 72¢, implying roughly 72% probability the outcome resolves YES.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 59 minutes (10:09 AM to 11:08 AM ET), NO volume leads $17,557 to $8,778, as price moved from 88¢ to 72¢ (-16¢). One $7,500 NO trade (25,000 contracts) accounts for 28% of the flow.
📊 Last 627 trades: 627 trades over 11.1 hours (12:04 AM to 11:08 AM ET), flow roughly balanced — $21,871 YES vs $20,874 NO, as price moved from 93¢ to 72¢ (-21¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.