A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of whether the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transit calls will exceed 60 before Jun 15, 2026 — the NO side wins if that outcome does NOT happen. 5,820 NO contracts at 91¢ each, totaling $5,296. With zero resting liquidity and no open interest on record, the book showed no meaningful absorption data, though the session price ticked up 1¢ from 9¢ to 10¢. YES currently sits at a bid of 9¢, implying roughly a 9% probability the threshold is crossed in time.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 5.0 hours (9:19 AM to 2:21 PM ET), NO volume leads $35,142 to $1,761, price holding near 10¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.