A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?" — the NO side wins if the Federal Reserve does not hike rates by 25bps at the June 2026 meeting. 10,000 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $9,900. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, the trade crossed into a thin market without a visible price shift. The market currently sits at 1¢ YES / 99¢ NO, implying roughly a 1% probability of a 25bps hike.
📊 Last 29 trades: 29 trades over 10.3 hours (5:49 AM to 4:04 PM ET), NO volume leads $17,330 to $1,136, price holding near 1¢. One $9,900 NO trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 54% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.