A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of "Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?" — the NO side wins if the Federal Reserve does not cut rates by 25bps at the June 2026 meeting. 5,549 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $5,383. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade absorbed against a thin market showing a 1¢ bid-ask spread on the NO side. The market currently sits at a 3¢ YES bid, implying roughly a 3% probability of a 25bps cut.
📊 Last 78 trades: 78 trades over 12.0 hours (2:14 AM to 2:13 PM ET), NO volume leads $17,451 to $1,570, price holding near 3¢. One $5,383 NO trade (5,549 contracts) accounts for 28% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.