A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "France vs Spain: To Advance" in the France vs Spain market — the YES side wins if the outcome happens. The taker landed 100,000 YES contracts at 60¢ each, totaling $60,000. The book absorbed the size cleanly — across the last 200 trades (6 minutes), the price has held near 60¢ on the YES side. The market now prices YES at roughly 60%. The market closes August 11, 2026.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 6 minutes (3:26 PM to 3:32 PM ET), YES volume leads $115,659 to $107, price holding near 60¢. One $60,000 YES trade (100,000 contracts) accounts for 52% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 53 minutes (2:39 PM to 3:32 PM ET), YES volume leads $247,720 to $4,798, price holding near 60¢.
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 2.4 hours (1:11 PM to 3:32 PM ET), YES volume leads $486,364 to $9,233, price holding near 60¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $30,000+ · Parlays: $20,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $10,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.