A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of Spain vs Belgium: To Advance — the YES side wins if the outcome happens. The trade totaled 50,000 YES contracts at 74¢ each, totaling $37,000. The book absorbed the size cleanly, with the price holding flat at 74¢ afterward, showing no slippage. The market currently sits at 74¢, implying a 74% probability that Spain advances.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 2 minutes (6:36 PM to 6:38 PM ET), YES volume leads $210,205 to $27, price holding near 74¢. One $154,606 YES trade (208,927 contracts) accounts for 74% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 17 minutes (6:21 PM to 6:38 PM ET), YES volume leads $351,721 to $724, price holding near 74¢. One $154,606 YES trade (208,927 contracts) accounts for 44% of the flow.
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 32 minutes (6:06 PM to 6:38 PM ET), YES volume leads $612,246 to $2,020, price holding near 74¢. One $154,606 YES trade (208,927 contracts) accounts for 25% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $30,000+ · Parlays: $20,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $9,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.