A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will John Cornyn be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?" — the NO side wins if Cornyn does not secure the nomination. 10,000 NO contracts at 96¢ each, totaling $9,610. The market absorbed the trade as the price ticked from 5¢ to 4¢ on the YES side, reflecting a slight shift against Cornyn's nomination. YES now sits at approximately 4¢, implying roughly a 4% probability of Cornyn winning the Republican nod.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.0 hours (12:16 PM to 1:19 PM ET), NO volume leads $26,232 to $2,541, price holding near 4¢. One $9,610 NO trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 33% of the flow.
📊 Last 894 trades: 894 trades over 11.9 hours (1:27 AM to 1:19 PM ET), NO volume leads $60,015 to $9,408, price holding near 4¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.