A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of "Donald Trump → John Cornyn AND Ken Paxton" in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff endorsement market — the NO side wins if Trump does not endorse both Cornyn and Paxton before May 26, 2026. 6,186 NO contracts at 100¢ each, totaling $6,180. The book absorbed the trade cleanly with no slippage, consistent with a market already pinned near zero on the YES side. YES sits at 0¢, implying a ~0% probability the outcome occurs.
📊 Last 25 trades: 25 trades over 10.4 hours (11:33 PM to 9:57 AM ET), NO volume leads $26,059 to $0, price holding near 0¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.