A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of the "Donald Trump → John Cornyn" outcome in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff endorsement market — the NO side wins if Trump does not endorse Cornyn before May 26, 2026. The trade covered 19,000 NO contracts at 100¢ each, totaling $18,981. With no resting liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade at a price already sitting at effectively zero on the YES side. YES is priced at 0¢, implying a near-zero probability that the endorsement occurs.
📊 Last 22 trades: 22 trades over 7.9 hours (2:04 AM to 9:57 AM ET), NO volume leads $69,036 to $0, price holding near 0¢. One $18,981 NO trade (19,000 contracts) accounts for 27% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.