Someone just bet $7,025 against "Will John Cornyn be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?" on Kalshi's multi-outcome Texas Republican Senate market. The trader placed 7,395 NO contracts at 95¢ each, totaling $7,025.25. The price held flat at 5¢ on the YES side with no slippage detected, as the book absorbed the trade without movement. The YES outcome remains priced at ~5¢, implying roughly a 5% probability that Cornyn secures the nomination.
📊 Last 121 trades: 121 trades over 11.9 hours (2:43 AM to 2:40 PM ET), NO volume leads $10,175 to $1,618, price holding near 5¢. One $7,026 NO trade (7,395 contracts) accounts for 60% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.