A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does NOT win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election. 6,896 NO contracts at 79¢ each, totaling $5,448. The market edged down 1¢ over the 26-minute session window, absorbing the trade at 22¢ YES — suggesting the book took the size without significant additional slippage. The YES side currently sits at 22¢, implying roughly a 22% probability.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 27 minutes (10:14 AM to 10:41 AM ET), flow roughly balanced — $12,774 YES vs $12,138 NO, price holding near 22¢.
📊 Last 1,305 trades: 1,305 trades over 12.0 hours (10:41 PM to 10:41 AM ET), NO volume leads $198,533 to $80,651, as price moved from 27¢ to 22¢ (-5¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.