Someone just bet $7,235 against "Will Elon Musk win Musk v. Altman et al?" in the Will Elon win his case against OpenAI? market, wagering the court does not side with Musk before January 1, 2027. The trade placed 9,276 NO contracts at 78¢ each, totaling $7,235. The bet landed into a market already trending heavily NO, with price sliding from 22¢ to 17¢ on the YES side across 200 trades spanning 12.4 hours. YES now sits at approximately 17¢–18¢, implying roughly an 18% probability of Musk prevailing.
📊 Last 194 trades: 194 trades over 11.6 hours (1:51 AM to 1:29 PM ET), NO volume leads $18,503 to $1,020, as price moved from 22¢ to 17¢ (-5¢). One $7,235 NO trade (9,276 contracts) accounts for 37% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.