A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29979.99 at the end of May 27, 2026 at 3pm EDT?" — the NO side wins if the outcome does NOT happen. The trade covered 6,752 NO contracts at 85¢ each, totaling $5,739. The YES price dropped 31¢ across the session's 8 trades, from 47¢ to 16¢, with this single trade dominating at 93% of NO-side volume. YES now sits at 16¢, implying roughly a 16% probability the Nasdaq-100 closes at or above 29,980 at 3 PM ET.
📊 Last 8 trades: 8 trades over 13 minutes (2:45 PM to 2:57 PM ET), NO volume leads $5,816 to $194, as price moved from 47¢ to 16¢ (-31¢). One $5,739 NO trade (6,752 contracts) accounts for 96% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.