Someone just bet $5,674 on "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 99.99 USD/Bbl on May 18, 2026?" resolving YES. 5,731 YES contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $5,673.69. The book showed no resting liquidity, yet the trade executed cleanly at 99¢ with no visible slippage. The market sits at a last price of 99¢, implying ~99% probability of resolution YES.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 3.9 hours (10:16 AM to 2:09 PM ET), YES volume leads $17,734 to $230, as price moved from 70¢ to 99¢ (+29¢). One $5,674 YES trade (5,731 contracts) accounts for 32% of the flow.
📊 Last 820 trades: 820 trades over 10.6 hours (3:32 AM to 2:09 PM ET), YES volume leads $28,936 to $4,474, as price moved from 89¢ to 99¢ (+10¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.