Someone just bet $12,125 on "Will the S&P 500 be above 7324.9999 on May 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?" resolving YES. 12,500 YES contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $12,125. The price climbed 8¢ across 6 trades spanning 14 minutes — from 89¢ to 97¢ — as YES buyers dominated, representing 100% of contract flow. The market now sits at 97¢ on the ask, implying a ~97% probability of the S&P 500 trading at or above 7,325 at noon ET.
📊 Last 6 trades: 6 trades over 14 minutes (11:02 AM to 11:16 AM ET), YES volume leads $12,577 to $2, as price moved from 89¢ to 97¢ (+8¢). One $12,125 YES trade (12,500 contracts) accounts for 96% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.