A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?" — the YES side wins if a Republican is sworn in as Texas Senator for the term beginning in 2027. 8,347 YES contracts at 60¢ each, totaling $5,008. The book absorbed the trade cleanly, with price moving just 1¢ over the 2.1-hour session window on strong YES-side flow. The market last printed at 60¢, implying a ~60% probability.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 2.1 hours (2:19 PM to 4:24 PM ET), YES volume leads $47,290 to $1,736, price holding near 60¢.
📊 Last 693 trades: 693 trades over 11.9 hours (4:33 AM to 4:24 PM ET), YES volume leads $109,932 to $3,632, price holding near 60¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.