A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? — the YES side wins if a Republican is sworn in as Texas Senator for the term beginning in 2027. 22,443 YES contracts at 58¢ each, totaling $13,017. The book absorbed the trade cleanly, with price nudging just 1¢ from 57¢ to 58¢ across the 3.1-hour session window. YES now sits at 58¢, placing the implied probability at approximately 57%.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 3.1 hours (8:28 AM to 11:32 AM ET), YES volume leads $32,151 to $65, price holding near 58¢. One $13,017 YES trade (22,443 contracts) accounts for 40% of the flow.
📊 Last 400 trades: 400 trades over 12.0 hours (11:32 PM to 11:32 AM ET), YES volume leads $62,253 to $626, price holding near 58¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.