A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Who will win the next presidential election?" — the YES side wins if Marco Rubio is inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029. The trade covered 30,478 YES contracts at 20¢ each, totaling $6,096. The book absorbed the order with no apparent slippage, as the broader session shows price holding flat at 19¢ across 200 trades spanning 2.5 days. YES sits at 19¢, implying roughly a 19% probability for Rubio.
📊 Last 38 trades: 38 trades over 10.1 hours (2:19 AM to 12:23 PM ET), YES volume leads $9,689 to $185, price holding near 19¢. One $6,096 YES trade (30,478 contracts) accounts for 62% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.