A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of the "At least 50%" outcome in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election first-round vote share market — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does not receive at least 50% of the popular vote. The trade covered 7,050 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $6,980. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade absorbed cleanly without observable slippage. YES sits at 1¢, placing the implied probability of Pratt reaching 50% at approximately 1%.
📊 Last 13 trades: 13 trades over 3.8 hours (9:18 AM to 1:08 PM ET), NO volume leads $9,900 to $138, price holding near 1¢. One $6,980 NO trade (7,050 contracts) accounts for 70% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.