A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of the Strait of Hormuz traffic recovery market — the YES side wins if the "Before Oct 1, 2026" outcome happens. 9,261 YES contracts at 67¢ each, totaling $6,205. The trade pushed the price down 4¢ from session levels, with the book absorbing the order at 67¢ against a current bid/ask of 69¢/72¢. The last price sits at 67¢, implying roughly a 67% probability the outcome resolves YES before October 1, 2026.
📊 Last 60 trades: 60 trades over 11.9 hours (10:18 PM to 10:11 AM ET), YES volume leads $7,491 to $45, as price moved from 63¢ to 67¢ (+4¢). One $6,205 YES trade (9,261 contracts) accounts for 82% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.