Someone just bet $6,823 against "Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?" in the 2028 Republican presidential nominee market. The trader placed 7,005 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $6,823. With no resting liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade without a measurable price move or slippage. The YES side currently sits at approximately 2–3¢, implying roughly a 2% probability for Thomas Massie securing the nomination.
📊 Last 116 trades: 116 trades over 11.5 hours (10:15 AM to 9:48 PM ET), NO volume leads $14,679 to $1,248, price holding near 3¢. One $6,824 NO trade (7,005 contracts) accounts for 43% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.