A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?" — the NO side wins if Tucker Carlson does not secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. 5,766 NO contracts at 94¢ each, totaling $5,432. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade landed without measurable slippage and the price held flat at 6¢ on the YES side. The market currently sits at a 6¢ YES bid, implying roughly a 6% probability for Tucker Carlson.
📊 Last 3 trades: 3 trades over 7.3 hours (6:40 AM to 2:01 PM ET), NO volume leads $5,432 to $3, price holding near 6¢. One $5,432 NO trade (5,766 contracts) accounts for 100% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.