Someone just bet $11,704 on the "Before Aug 1, 2026" outcome in the market asking whether Tulsi Gabbard will leave as Director of National Intelligence before that date. The trade placed 11,834 YES contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $11,703.83. The book showed no resting liquidity, yet the trade executed without visible slippage, clearing cleanly at 99¢. The market now sits at a 98¢ bid with an implied probability of approximately 98%.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 3.3 hours (10:04 AM to 1:23 PM ET), YES volume leads $32,170 to $281, as price moved from 23¢ to 99¢ (+76¢). One $11,704 YES trade (11,834 contracts) accounts for 36% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.