Someone just bet $17,700 against the "Before Jun 1, 2026" outcome on whether Tulsi Gabbard will leave as Director of National Intelligence before Jun 1, 2026. The trade placed 18,080 NO contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $17,700. The NO side pressed prices down from 5¢ to 2¢ across a five-minute window of heavy selling, with this trade landing as the session's largest single order. The YES side now sits at 2¢, implying roughly a 2% probability that Gabbard exits the DNI role before June 1.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 5 minutes (1:17 PM to 1:22 PM ET), NO volume leads $53,287 to $1,529, price holding near 2¢. One $17,701 NO trade (18,080 contracts) accounts for 32% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,208 trades: 1,208 trades over 3.4 hours (9:55 AM to 1:22 PM ET), NO volume leads $108,879 to $46,786, as price moved from 8¢ to 2¢ (-6¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.