Someone just bet $5,158 against the "Before Jun 1, 2026" outcome on Tulsi Gabbard leaving as Director of National Intelligence, wagering she stays in the role through May 31. The trade placed 5,340 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $5,158. With no resting orders and zero liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade without measurable slippage, holding flat at 4¢. YES sits at 3.4¢ bid, placing the implied probability of Gabbard's early departure at roughly 3%.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 23 minutes (2:22 PM to 2:44 PM ET), NO volume leads $67,398 to $2,176, price holding near 4¢.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 1.6 hours (1:07 PM to 2:44 PM ET), NO volume leads $422,437 to $28,966, as price moved from 7¢ to 4¢ (-4¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,634 trades over 4.8 hours (9:55 AM to 2:44 PM ET), NO volume leads $435,844 to $64,356, as price moved from 8¢ to 4¢ (-4¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.