Someone just bet $9,746 on "What will Kevin Warsh say during Senate Banking Committee Confirmation Hearing?" — specifically that Warsh will say "Rate Cut / Cut Rate" during his Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing. The trade placed 9,844 YES contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $9,745.56. The book absorbed the order as the price ticked up 1¢, moving from 98¢ to 99¢ with minimal slippage. The market now sits at 99¢ on the ask, implying a ~99% probability of resolution YES.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 11 minutes (11:35 AM to 11:46 AM ET), YES volume leads $22,462 to $1,158, as price moved from 96¢ to 99¢ (+3¢). One $9,746 YES trade (9,844 contracts) accounts for 41% of the flow.
📊 Last 602 trades: 602 trades over 12.0 hours (11:49 PM to 11:46 AM ET), YES volume leads $26,411 to $1,981, as price moved from 57¢ to 99¢ (+42¢). One $9,746 YES trade (9,844 contracts) accounts for 34% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.