A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Spain vs Belgium Winner?" — the YES side wins if regulation time ends in a tie. The trade landed 152,019 YES contracts at 25 cents each, totaling $38,004.75. The book absorbed the size cleanly, with the price holding flat at 25 cents and no slippage from the pre-trade level. The market now sits at 25 cents, implying roughly a 25% chance of a regulation-time tie.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 43 minutes (11:09 AM to 11:52 AM ET), YES volume leads $43,635 to $3,710, price holding near 25¢. One $38,005 YES trade (152,019 contracts) accounts for 80% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,164 trades: 1,164 trades over 12.0 hours (11:53 PM to 11:52 AM ET), YES volume leads $70,699 to $6,294, price holding near 25¢. One $38,005 YES trade (152,019 contracts) accounts for 49% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $30,000+ · Parlays: $20,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $9,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.