A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of the "At least 25%" outcome in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral first-round vote share market — the YES side wins if Spencer Pratt receives at least 25% of the popular vote. The trade crossed at 26,483 YES contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $26,218. The book absorbed the fill cleanly with no slippage, consistent with a market already pinned at 99¢ after a 22-cent run across the session. The market currently sits at 99¢ bid, implying approximately 99% probability.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 4.0 hours (7:31 PM to 11:29 PM ET), YES volume leads $90,559 to $1,534, as price moved from 78¢ to 99¢ (+21¢). One $26,219 YES trade (26,483 contracts) accounts for 28% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.