Kalshi Whale Tracking
Jul 13, 2026
A taker stepped up on NO at 98¢, sizing $10,833 on Robert MacIntyre in "The Open Championship Winner" — the market prices YES near 2%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 97¢, sizing $9,710 on Collin Morikawa in "The Open Championship Winner" — the market prices YES near 3%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 59¢, sizing $29,500 on J.D. Vance in "2028 Republican presidential nominee" — the market prices YES near 33%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 90¢, sizing $26,910 on Combo — the market prices YES near 10%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 82¢, sizing $39,648 on Argentina in "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner" — the market prices YES near 18%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 100¢, sizing $14,940 on Nikki Haley in "2028 Republican presidential nominee" — the market prices YES near 0%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 99¢, sizing $31,599 on NICOLE GIANNINI in "Torres Murcia vs GIANNINI" — the market prices YES near 1%.
A taker stepped up on YES at 99¢, sizing $30,156 on Dino Prizmic in "Kopriva vs Prizmic" — the market prices YES near 99%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 97¢, sizing $32,599 on Detroit in "2027 Pro Football Champion" — the market prices YES near 3%.
A taker stepped up on YES at 60¢, sizing $30,000 on France advances in "France vs Spain" — the market prices YES near 60%.
A taker stepped up on YES at 60¢, sizing $60,000 on France vs Spain — France vs Spain: To Advance — the market prices YES near 60%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 60¢, sizing $30,000 on France vs Spain — France vs Spain: To Advance — the market prices YES near 41%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 82¢, sizing $12,812 on 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner — the market prices YES near 18%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 98¢, sizing $14,458 on Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing before August 1, 2026, joining a wave of NO flow that has pushed the market to 2%.
A taker stepped up on YES for "Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?," sizing $11,000 across 25,000 contracts at 44¢.
A taker stepped up on NO at 88 cents, sizing $13,200 against Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing before September 1, 2026, joining a heavy NO-leaning tape.
Jul 10, 2026
A taker stepped up on YES at 25 cents, sizing $38,005 on a regulation-time tie between Spain and Belgium, with the price holding firm.
A taker stepped up on NO at 83¢, sizing $33,396 on whether Marco Rubio wins the next presidential election, pressing the market toward 17% YES.
A taker stepped up on YES at 83¢, sizing $46,419 on Sinner to beat Djokovic, as the price climbed a cent amid heavy YES flow.
A taker stepped up on YES for Max Holloway at 67¢, sizing $48,870 across 72,941 contracts without moving the price.
A taker stepped up on YES at 81¢, sizing $136,601 on Sinner beating Djokovic in the Wimbledon semifinal, as the price ticked up to 81%.
A taker stepped up on YES at 95¢, sizing $33,391 on Aurora Zantedeschi winning her quarterfinal against Blinkova.
Jul 9, 2026
A taker stepped up on YES, sizing $37,000 on Spain vs Belgium: To Advance at 74¢, implying a 74% chance Spain advances.
A taker stepped up on YES at 60¢, sizing $77,419 on Spain to beat Belgium in regulation, with the price holding firm.
A taker stepped up on YES at 36c, sizing $9,476 on Spain, Argentina, and England all advancing in a combo parlay market.