Politics

Jul 13, 2026

$30K NO on J.D. Vance at 59¢ in "2028 Republican presidential nominee" (5:20:04 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on NO at 59¢, sizing $29,500 on J.D. Vance in "2028 Republican presidential nominee" — the market prices YES near 33%.

Jul 13, 2026

$15K NO on Nikki Haley at 100¢ in "2028 Republican presidential nominee" (4:43:49 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on NO at 100¢, sizing $14,940 on Nikki Haley in "2028 Republican presidential nominee" — the market prices YES near 0%.

Jul 13, 2026

$14K NO on Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normal Before Aug 1, 2026 at 98¢ (10:56:30 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on NO at 98¢, sizing $14,458 on Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing before August 1, 2026, joining a wave of NO flow that has pushed the market to 2%.

Jul 13, 2026

$11K YES on Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? at 44¢ (10:23:35 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES for "Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?," sizing $11,000 across 25,000 contracts at 44¢.

Jul 13, 2026

$13K NO on Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normal Before Sep 1, 2026 at 88¢ (10:20:59 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on NO at 88 cents, sizing $13,200 against Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing before September 1, 2026, joining a heavy NO-leaning tape.

Jul 10, 2026

$33K NO on Who Will Win the Next Presidential Election? at 83¢ (11:11:13 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on NO at 83¢, sizing $33,396 on whether Marco Rubio wins the next presidential election, pressing the market toward 17% YES.

Jun 9, 2026

$26K YES on Spencer Pratt At Least 25% (Los Angeles Mayoral) at 99¢ (11:29:34 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 99¢, sizing $26K on Spencer Pratt receiving at least 25% of the vote in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral first round.

Jun 3, 2026

$26K NO on Who Will Win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 88¢ (5:17:35 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market at 88¢, sizing 30,000 contracts — $26,400 — against Spencer Pratt winning.

Jun 3, 2026

$28K NO on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 87¢ (5:02:12 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" at 87¢ across 31,792 contracts, sizing $27,659 against Spencer Pratt winning.

Jun 3, 2026

$17K NO on Who Will Win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 87¢ (4:28:44 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles mayoral race at 87¢, sizing $17,400 across 20,000 contracts — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does not win.

Jun 3, 2026

$21K NO on Spencer Pratt At Least 40% (Los Angeles Mayor) at 99¢ (4:01:07 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of Spencer Pratt receiving at least 40% of the Los Angeles mayoral first-round vote — 21,500 contracts at 99¢, with YES pricing the outcome at just 1%.

Jun 3, 2026

$23K YES on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 97¢ (3:38:27 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the YES side at 97¢, sizing $22,609 on the Fed holding rates unchanged at its June 2026 meeting — 23,308 contracts with no slippage.

Jun 3, 2026

$19K NO on Who will win the governorship in California? at 100¢ (3:18:33 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win the governorship in California?" at 100¢, sizing $19K against a Chad Bianco victory in a near-zero-probability market.

Jun 3, 2026

$26K NO on Spencer Pratt "At least 40%" in LA Mayor Race at 99¢ (3:08:52 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of Spencer Pratt hitting "at least 40%" in the 2026 LA mayor race, crossing 26,261 contracts at 99¢ with YES priced at just 1¢.

Jun 3, 2026

$9K YES on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 15¢ (2:57:38 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the YES side of the Spencer Pratt L.A. Mayor market at 15¢, stepping up with 61,208 contracts totaling $9,181 as price slipped to 14¢.

Jun 3, 2026

$7K NO on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 86¢ (9:45:42 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on NO at 86¢, sizing $7,162 against Spencer Pratt winning the Los Angeles Mayoral Election — the market held flat at 16¢ on the YES side.

Jun 3, 2026

$8K YES on Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt at 64¢ (9:44:48 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the YES side of Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt at 64¢, sizing $7,724 into a session already running 97% YES across 200 trades.

Jun 2, 2026

$10K YES on Will Democrats Win the House in 2026? at 78¢ (12:02:56 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 78¢, sizing $9,629 on Will Democrats win the House in 2026? — landing as the session's largest trade in a market up 1¢.

Jun 1, 2026

$16K YES on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 26¢ (11:38:32 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on YES at 26¢, sizing $15,660 on Spencer Pratt winning the Los Angeles Mayoral Election — 60,231 contracts with price holding flat.

May 30, 2026

$10K NO on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 87¢ (1:22:32 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" at 87¢, sizing $9,774 across 11,235 contracts against a ~13% implied probability.

May 30, 2026

$49K YES on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 97¢ (12:27:42 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 97¢, sizing $48,500 on the Fed holding rates unchanged in June 2026 — landing on a book with no resting liquidity.

May 30, 2026

👀 Top News Stories to Trade on Kalshi - May 30th

It Pays to Read Our News: Cash in on Culture with Prediction Markets

May 29, 2026

$5K NO on Will J.B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 97¢ (12:47:09 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the J.B. Pritzker 2028 Democratic nominee market at 97¢, sizing $5,153 against a ~3% implied probability in a market with no recorded volume.

May 29, 2026

$22K NO on Who Will Win the Next Presidential Election? (J.B. Pritzker) at 98¢ (12:45:26 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker landed on NO at 98¢ across 21,929 contracts, sizing $21,600 against J.B. Pritzker winning the 2028 presidency — a market sitting near 1–2¢ YES.

May 29, 2026

$6K YES on Who will win the next presidential election? at 20¢ (12:23:13 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 20¢, sizing $6K on Marco Rubio winning the next presidential election — landing on a market holding flat at 19¢.

Politics

$30K NO on J.D. Vance at 59¢ in "2028 Republican presidential nominee" (5:20:04 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$15K NO on Nikki Haley at 100¢ in "2028 Republican presidential nominee" (4:43:49 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$14K NO on Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normal Before Aug 1, 2026 at 98¢ (10:56:30 AM ET · Whale Watch)

$11K YES on Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? at 44¢ (10:23:35 AM ET · Whale Watch)

$13K NO on Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normal Before Sep 1, 2026 at 88¢ (10:20:59 AM ET · Whale Watch)

$33K NO on Who Will Win the Next Presidential Election? at 83¢ (11:11:13 AM ET · Whale Watch)

$26K YES on Spencer Pratt At Least 25% (Los Angeles Mayoral) at 99¢ (11:29:34 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$26K NO on Who Will Win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 88¢ (5:17:35 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$28K NO on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 87¢ (5:02:12 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$17K NO on Who Will Win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 87¢ (4:28:44 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$21K NO on Spencer Pratt At Least 40% (Los Angeles Mayor) at 99¢ (4:01:07 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$23K YES on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 97¢ (3:38:27 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$19K NO on Who will win the governorship in California? at 100¢ (3:18:33 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$26K NO on Spencer Pratt "At least 40%" in LA Mayor Race at 99¢ (3:08:52 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$9K YES on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 15¢ (2:57:38 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$7K NO on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 86¢ (9:45:42 AM ET · Whale Watch)

$8K YES on Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt at 64¢ (9:44:48 AM ET · Whale Watch)

$10K YES on Will Democrats Win the House in 2026? at 78¢ (12:02:56 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$16K YES on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 26¢ (11:38:32 AM ET · Whale Watch)

$10K NO on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 87¢ (1:22:32 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$49K YES on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 97¢ (12:27:42 PM ET · Whale Watch)

👀 Top News Stories to Trade on Kalshi - May 30th

$5K NO on Will J.B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 97¢ (12:47:09 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$22K NO on Who Will Win the Next Presidential Election? (J.B. Pritzker) at 98¢ (12:45:26 PM ET · Whale Watch)

$6K YES on Who will win the next presidential election? at 20¢ (12:23:13 PM ET · Whale Watch)

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