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Politics

$5K YES on Will Republicans Win the Senate Race in Texas? at 60Β’ (4:24:37 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$5K YES on Will Republicans Win the Senate Race in Texas? at 60Β’ (4:24:37 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 60Β’, sizing $5K on Republicans winning the Texas Senate race β€” landing in a session already running 95% YES-side flow.

$5K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 97Β’ (4:04:24 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$5K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 97Β’ (4:04:24 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Federal Reserve 25bps cut market at 97Β’, stepping up with 5,549 contracts totaling $5,383.

$10K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut Rates by >25bps at Their June 2026 Meeting? at 99Β’ (4:04:33 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$10K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut Rates by >25bps at Their June 2026 Meeting? at 99Β’ (4:04:33 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the Fed June 2026 >25bps cut outcome at 99Β’, sizing $9,684 across 9,782 contracts in a market pricing the event at just 1%.

$10K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 99Β’ (4:04:29 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$10K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 99Β’ (4:04:29 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed hike market at 99Β’ β€” sizing $9,900 across 10,000 contracts against a ~1% implied probability.

$10K NO on Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 390Β’? at 96Β’ (4:01:33 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$10K NO on Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 390Β’? at 96Β’ (4:01:33 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of "Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 390?" at 96Β’, sizing $9,600 across 10,000 contracts.

$6K NO on Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on May 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT? at 96Β’ (3:59:08 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$6K NO on Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on May 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT? at 96Β’ (3:59:08 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on NO at 96Β’ on the S&P 500 above 7,524.9999 outcome, sizing $6,085 across 6,339 contracts as YES collapsed to a 4% implied probability.

$7K YES on Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 380α… ? at 68Β’ (3:35:41 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$7K YES on Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 380α… ? at 68Β’ (3:35:41 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on YES at 68Β’ on U.S. gasoline CPI clearing 380 in May 2026, sizing $6,723 across 9,887 contracts into a market with no resting liquidity.

$7K YES on Nasdaq-100 Closing 29,900 to 29,999.99 at 66Β’ (3:31:40 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$7K YES on Nasdaq-100 Closing 29,900 to 29,999.99 at 66Β’ (3:31:40 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on YES at 66Β’, sizing $6,719 on the Nasdaq-100 closing in the 29,900–29,999.99 range β€” in a market that has run 59Β’ off session lows.

$6K NO on Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29979.99 at the end of May 27, 2026 at 3pm EDT? at 85Β’ (2:57:43 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$6K NO on Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29979.99 at the end of May 27, 2026 at 3pm EDT? at 85Β’ (2:57:43 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on NO at 85Β’ across 6,752 contracts, sizing $5,739 against the Nasdaq-100 closing above 29,979.99 β€” hitting a market already down 31Β’ from session open.

$5K NO on "Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on May 27, 2026 at 3pm EDT?" at 36Β’ (2:46:48 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$5K NO on "Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on May 27, 2026 at 3pm EDT?" at 36Β’ (2:46:48 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the S&P 500 above 7,524.9999 outcome at 36Β’, sizing $5,423 across 15,063 contracts against a 67% YES-implied market.

$119K YES on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 96Β’ (2:29:45 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$119K YES on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 96Β’ (2:29:45 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 96Β’, sizing $119K on the Fed holding rates at its June 2026 meeting β€” landing on a market already printing at session highs.

$5K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 97Β’ (2:13:38 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$5K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 97Β’ (2:13:38 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed 25bps cut outcome at 97Β’, sizing $5,383 across 5,549 contracts in a market pricing the event at just 3%.

$10K NO on Will the President be impeached before Jun 1, 2026? at 100Β’ (1:53:00 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$10K NO on Will the President be impeached before Jun 1, 2026? at 100Β’ (1:53:00 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of "Will the President be impeached before Jun 1, 2026?" at 100Β’, sizing $9,990 into a market pricing the event at ~0%.

$10K YES on Tulsi Gabbard Out as DNI Before Aug 1, 2026 at 100Β’ (1:42:26 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$10K YES on Tulsi Gabbard Out as DNI Before Aug 1, 2026 at 100Β’ (1:42:26 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 100Β’, sizing $9,980 on Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Aug 1, 2026 β€” a market already pricing the outcome at ~99%.

$9K YES on "Trump" β€” Cabinet Meeting Mention Market at 99Β’ (1:37:37 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$9K YES on "Trump" β€” Cabinet Meeting Mention Market at 99Β’ (1:37:37 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 99Β’, sizing $9,405 on Trump saying "Trump" during the Cabinet Meeting β€” landing on a market already priced at near-certainty.

$12K NO on Trump Cabinet Meeting β€” "Peace" at 99Β’ (1:17:05 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$12K NO on Trump Cabinet Meeting β€” "Peace" at 99Β’ (1:17:05 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the "Peace" outcome at 99Β’, sizing $12,375 across 12,500 contracts in the Trump Cabinet Meeting market.

$10K YES on Iran (5+ times) at 99Β’ (1:00:44 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$10K YES on Iran (5+ times) at 99Β’ (1:00:44 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the YES side of "Iran (5+ times)" at 99Β’, sizing $9,900 on Trump naming Iran five-plus times at his Cabinet Meeting.

$16K YES on Trump Cabinet Meeting "250" at 99Β’ (12:05:41 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$16K YES on Trump Cabinet Meeting "250" at 99Β’ (12:05:41 PM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the YES side of Trump Cabinet Meeting "250" at 99Β’, sizing $15,644 across 15,802 contracts on the event resolving YES.

$11K NO on "Event Does Not Qualify" – Trump Cabinet Meeting at 99Β’ (11:55:06 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$11K NO on "Event Does Not Qualify" – Trump Cabinet Meeting at 99Β’ (11:55:06 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on NO at 99Β’ across 11,047 contracts, sizing $10,937 against the "Event does not qualify" outcome in Trump's Cabinet Meeting market β€” YES pinned at 1Β’.

$13K YES on Will Republicans Win the Senate Race in Texas? at 58Β’ (11:32:11 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$13K YES on Will Republicans Win the Senate Race in Texas? at 58Β’ (11:32:11 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on YES at 58Β’, sizing $13K on Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? β€” landing on the side that wins if a Republican is sworn in for the 2027 term.

$10K NO on "Event Does Not Qualify" (Trump Cabinet Meeting) at 98Β’ (11:27:20 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$10K NO on "Event Does Not Qualify" (Trump Cabinet Meeting) at 98Β’ (11:27:20 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of "Event does not qualify" at 98Β’, sizing 10,000 contracts for $9,800 on the Trump Cabinet Meeting mentions market.

$9K YES on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 27Β’ (11:20:23 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$9K YES on Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 27Β’ (11:20:23 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker stepped up on the YES side of Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 27Β’, landing 34,482 contracts totaling $9,310 on Spencer Pratt.

$8K NO on Fed Funds Rate Above 3.75% After Jun 2026 Meeting at 98Β’ (10:30:16 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$8K NO on Fed Funds Rate Above 3.75% After Jun 2026 Meeting at 98Β’ (10:30:16 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of "Above 3.75%" at 98Β’, sizing $8,010 against the federal funds rate exceeding 3.75% after the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting.

$60K NO on Who Will Win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 100Β’ (9:32:56 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$60K NO on Who Will Win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 100Β’ (9:32:56 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market at 100Β’, sizing $60K against Adam Miller winning β€” with YES priced at effectively 0Β’.

$9K YES on Ken Paxton, 20%+ (Texas Republican Senate Runoff) at 100Β’ (9:31:08 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

May 27, 2026

$9K YES on Ken Paxton, 20%+ (Texas Republican Senate Runoff) at 100Β’ (9:31:08 AM ET Β· Whale Watch)

A taker landed on the YES side of Ken Paxton, 20%+ at 100Β’, sizing $9,401 into a market already pinned at the ceiling with no resting liquidity.

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