Archive

May 22, 2026

$11K NO on Who Will Win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 74¢ (12:14:37 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $11,100 bet against Spencer Pratt winning the Los Angeles Mayoral Election — pricing the outcome at ~27% — landed in a market with zero open interest and no resting liquidity.

May 21, 2026

Kalshi Alert: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EC6128F81BB-5B032B74671

A $9,868 YES bet on "no San Antonio wins by over 18.5 points, yes Over 200.5 points scored" locks in at 81¢ — implying ~81% — on a cold Kalshi book.

May 21, 2026

$28K YES on Game 3: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner? at 55¢ (11:17:21 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $27,500 YES bet on San Antonio in the "Game 3: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner?" market prices the Spurs at ~55% — entering a book that absorbed the trade without moving.

May 21, 2026

$30K YES on Will the San Antonio Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? at 31¢ (10:52:40 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $29,885 YES trade on San Antonio winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — 96,402 contracts at 31¢ — left the market unchanged, holding the event at a ~31% implied probability.

May 21, 2026

$30K YES on Will the San Antonio Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? at 31¢ (10:52:40 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $29,885 YES trade on San Antonio winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — pricing the outcome at ~31% — landed as the session's largest single move in a market that slid 1¢ on the session.

May 21, 2026

$98K NO on "Will the Cleveland Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" at 98¢ (10:46:24 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $98,000 NO trade on Cleveland winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals changed hands at 98¢, though whether it opened or closed a position cannot be confirmed from public data.

May 21, 2026

$194K NO on "Will the Cleveland Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" at 98¢ (10:46:24 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $194K NO trade on Cleveland winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals changed hands at 98¢, most likely closing an existing position rather than opening one.

May 21, 2026

$490K NO on "Will the Cleveland Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" at 98¢ (10:46:24 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $490,000 NO trade on Cleveland winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals changed hands at 98¢, though at that extreme price it's unclear whether it's a new position or an early exit.

May 21, 2026

$48K YES on Game 2: Cleveland at New York Winner? at 96¢ (10:25:14 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $48K YES print on "Game 2: Cleveland at New York Winner?" at 96¢ hit the tape — most likely an early position close or a counterparty taking cheap NO exposure, not a fresh directional wager.

May 21, 2026

$48K NO on Game 2: Cleveland at New York Winner? at 96¢ (10:25:14 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $48K NO-side print on the "Game 2: Cleveland at New York Winner?" outcome traded at 96¢, likely a position close rather than a fresh entry, per public trade data.

May 21, 2026

$48K YES on Game 2: Cleveland at New York Winner? at 96¢ (10:25:14 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $48K YES print on "Game 2: Cleveland at New York Winner?" at 96¢ surfaces amid a market now quoting 99¢ — raising the question of early exit versus fresh entry.

May 21, 2026

$7K NO on Will Thomas Massie Be the 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee at 97¢ (9:48:01 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $6,823 bet against Thomas Massie winning the 2028 Republican nomination — pricing him at ~2% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.

May 21, 2026

$39K NO on "Will Arthur Fils Win the French Open?" at 97¢ (9:30:06 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $38,800 bet against Arthur Fils winning the French Open prices the outcome at just ~3% — landing in a market with no open interest and zero resting liquidity.

May 21, 2026

$5K NO on "When will OpenAI IPO?" at 99¢ (9:13:44 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $5,254 bet against "When will OpenAI IPO?" — pricing the outcome at just ~1% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity and zero open interest.

May 21, 2026

⚡ News Roundup: 218 Stories from 19 Outlets — Past 3h (as of 6:57 PM ET, May 21)

218 stories from 19 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.

May 21, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: Next UK Government, Dublin Central By-election, SpaceX Launc — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:18 PM ET, May 21)

183 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 35 events.

May 21, 2026

⚡ News Roundup: 293 Stories from 20 Outlets — Past 3h (as of 1:00 PM ET, May 21)

293 stories from 20 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.

May 21, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: SpaceX Starship Launch, Klarna Consumers, DoorDash Orders — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:11 AM ET, May 21)

443 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 64 events.

May 20, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: Klarna Consumers, Futu Accounts, Hims Subscribers — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:16 PM ET, May 20)

433 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 59 events.

May 20, 2026

⚡ News Roundup: 272 Stories from 19 Outlets — Past 3h (as of 11:59 AM ET, May 20)

272 stories from 19 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.

May 20, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: EV Commodity Prices, Netflix Views, Wage Satisfaction — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:17 AM ET, May 20)

167 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 27 events.

May 19, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: Wage Satisfaction, Survivor 50, S&P 500 vs BTC — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:21 PM ET, May 19)

147 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 26 events.

May 19, 2026

$17K YES on yes New York,yes Over 200.5 points scored at 60¢ (12:09:52 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $16,690 YES bet on New York winning and total points clearing 200.5 — pricing the parlay at ~60% — drove the only action in an otherwise dormant market.

May 19, 2026

⚡ News Roundup: 284 Stories from 20 Outlets — Past 3h (as of 11:59 AM ET, May 19)

284 stories from 20 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.

May 19, 2026

$5K NO on Will the Nasdaq-100 Be Above 28739.99 at the End of May 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT? at 78¢ (11:57:48 AM ET · Prediction News Network)

A $5,061 bet against the Nasdaq-100 topping 28,740 at noon EDT — pricing YES at just 22¢ — landed as the index's implied odds shed 31¢ across today's session.

May 19, 2026

$7K NO on "Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Alabama?" at 59¢ (11:54:46 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $6,621 bet against Jared Hudson winning Alabama's Republican Senate nomination — pricing the outcome at just 41% — lands as the session's largest trade after YES has already slid 9¢.

May 19, 2026

$18K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Hike Rates by 25bps at Their June 2026 Meeting? at 99¢ (11:50:12 AM ET · Whale Watch)

An $18,116 NO bet against a Federal Reserve June 2026 rate hike prices the outcome at just ~1% — with zero market liquidity to absorb it.

May 19, 2026

$53K YES on Game 1: Cleveland at New York Winner? at 70¢ (11:30:37 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $52,957 bet on New York to win Game 1 against Cleveland — pricing the outcome at ~70% — landed at 70¢ with zero slippage in a market with no resting liquidity.

May 19, 2026

$12K YES on Will the S&P 500 be above 7324.9999 on May 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT? at 97¢ (11:16:05 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $12,125 YES bet on the S&P 500 clearing 7,325 at noon today prices the outcome at ~97% — after an 8¢ price surge across 14 minutes of one-sided buying.

May 19, 2026

$27K NO on "Will the San Antonio Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" at 62¢ (11:11:24 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $27,309 bet against San Antonio winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — pricing the NO side at 62¢ with YES implied at ~39% — absorbed cleanly with zero price movement.

May 19, 2026

$5K YES on Will John Cornyn be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas? at 37¢ (10:56:20 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $5,210 YES bet on John Cornyn winning the Texas Republican Senate nomination — pricing the outcome at ~37¢ — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.

May 19, 2026

$7K NO on Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? at 72¢ (10:29:53 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $7,200 bet against Marco Rubio winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination — pricing the outcome at ~28% — landed on a book with zero resting liquidity.

May 19, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: EV Commodity Prices, Drake Billboard, NextEra Energy — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:19 AM ET, May 19)

725 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 171 events.

May 19, 2026

Apologies: Articles Sent in Mistake Yesterday

Please disregard the previous 3 emails

May 18, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: US Crude Oil Ban, DXY High, Georgia Senate Matchup — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:13 PM ET, May 18)

712 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 168 events.

May 18, 2026

France World Cup Odds Hold at 18 Cents on Kalshi as Guardiola Era Ends at Man City

France holds at 18% to win the 2026 World Cup on Kalshi as Pep Guardiola prepares to leave Man City — and speculation swirls about a national-team role

May 18, 2026

Schwarber Benching Lifts Bryce Harper Homer Odds on Kalshi

Kyle Schwarber is out Monday against the Reds, and Kalshi markets now price Bryce Harper's home run odds at 17-18%.

May 18, 2026

Vegas Golden Knights Western Conference Final Odds Sit at 30 Cents on Kalshi

Vegas Golden Knights sit at 30 cents to win the Western Conference Final on Kalshi.

May 18, 2026

$6K YES on Will the WTI Crude Oil Settlement Price Be Above 100.99 USD/Bbl on May 18, 2026? at 99¢ (2:16:14 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $6,101 YES bet on WTI crude settling above $100.99 on May 18 prices the outcome at ~99% — with the contract closing in under 15 minutes.

May 18, 2026

$6K YES on Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 99.99 USD/Bbl on May 18, 2026? at 99¢ (2:09:05 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $5,674 YES bet on WTI crude settling above $99.99 on May 18 — pricing the outcome at ~99% — landed at the top of a strongly one-sided order book.

May 18, 2026

$36K YES on Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Winner? at 98¢ (1:58:51 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $36,489 YES bet on Sunrisers Hyderabad in the IPL Winner market prices the outcome at ~98% — 37,234 contracts at 98¢ with zero slippage.

May 18, 2026

$7K YES on Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-4? at 62¢ (1:52:41 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $7,483 YES bet on Ed Gallrein as the KY-04 Republican nominee prices the outcome at ~62¢ — the session high — after 200 trades pushed the market up 5¢.

May 18, 2026

$7K NO on "When will SpaceX IPO?" at 92¢ (1:51:11 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $7,315 bet against a SpaceX IPO announcement before June 1 — pricing the YES outcome at just ~6% — lands in a market with no open interest and zero resting liquidity.

May 18, 2026

$27K NO on "When will SpaceX IPO?" at 94¢ (1:51:11 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $27K bet against a SpaceX IPO before June 1 prices the outcome at just ~8% — with the YES side already down 8¢ on the session.

May 18, 2026

$6K NO on Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-4? at 60¢ (1:32:53 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $5,785 bet against Thomas Massie securing the KY-4 Republican nomination — pricing the NO side at 60¢ — hit a flat market unchanged on the session.

May 18, 2026

$7K NO on Will Elon Musk win Musk v. Altman et al? at 78¢ (1:29:17 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $7,235 bet against Elon Musk winning Musk v. Altman et al — pricing the outcome at just ~18% — hit a market already deep in NO territory, down 5¢ on the session.

May 18, 2026

$10K NO on "What will JD Vance say during remarks at Milbank Manufacturing Company?" at 99¢ (1:03:10 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $9,900 bet against "What will JD Vance say during remarks at Milbank Manufacturing Company?" — pricing YES at just 1% — landed as the session's dominant trade at 1:03 PM ET.

May 18, 2026

$28K YES on Arsenal vs Burnley Winner? at 88¢ (1:01:00 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $27,684 bet backing Arsenal in the "Arsenal vs Burnley Winner?" market locks in at 88¢ — implying ~88% — as price eases 1¢ off session highs.

May 18, 2026

$6K NO on Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-4? at 59¢ (12:58:10 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $5,900 bet against Thomas Massie winning the KY-4 Republican nomination — pricing the outcome at ~41% — lands as the session's largest single trade.

May 18, 2026

$6K YES on Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-4? at 59¢ (12:58:05 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $5,900 YES bet on Ed Gallrein securing the KY-04 Republican nomination — pricing the outcome at ~59% — lands as the session's largest single trade.

May 18, 2026

$15K YES on yes Tampa Bay,yes Philadelphia at 31¢ (12:20:32 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $15,286 YES bet on "yes Tampa Bay,yes Philadelphia" — pricing the parlay at 31¢ implied ~30% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.

May 18, 2026

$5K YES on Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-4? at 43¢ (12:08:21 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $5,039 YES bet on Thomas Massie winning the KY-4 Republican nomination prices the outcome at ~43% — entering a market that held flat through 200 trades.

May 18, 2026

⚡ News Roundup — 259 Stories (as of 11:59 AM ET, May 18)

259 stories from 18 sources in the past 3 hours.

May 18, 2026

$150K NO on Above $27.94 at 60¢ (11:59:20 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $150,000 bet against CARB Joint Auction #47 settling above $27.94 — pricing the NO side at 60¢ against a 51% YES market — lands as the session's dominant trade.

May 18, 2026

$7K NO on Who Will Win the Next Presidential Election? at 98¢ (11:41:45 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $6,706 bet against Tucker Carlson in the 2028 presidential market prices his chances at just ~2% — with the NO side trading at 97¢.

May 18, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: EV Commodity Prices, Samsung Strike, James Bond — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:14 AM ET, May 18)

26 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 4 events.

May 17, 2026

$42K YES on Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? at 84¢ (9:17:21 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $42,000 Cleveland bet on the 2026 NBA second-round series winner — pricing Cleveland at ~84% — hit a static book with no slippage at 84¢.

May 17, 2026

$26K NO on Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? at 85¢ (9:14:35 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $26,094 bet against Detroit in the Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series — 30,699 NO contracts pricing the outcome at ~16% — absorbed with zero price movement.

May 17, 2026

$45K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut Rates by 25bps at Their June 2026 Meeting? at 98¢ (9:14:15 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $44,664 bet against a June 2026 Fed rate cut — pricing the outcome at just 2% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity and zero open interest.

May 17, 2026

$53K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? at 98¢ (9:14:15 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $52,846 bet against a Fed rate cut at the June 2026 meeting prices the outcome at just ~2% — landing in a market with no resting liquidity.

May 17, 2026

$72K NO on Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? at 72¢ (8:54:44 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $72,000 bet against Detroit in the Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? market — pricing Detroit's odds at ~28% — absorbed cleanly with zero slippage.

May 17, 2026

Cavaliers-Pistons Game 7 Sets Up Kalshi Eastern Conference Odds Showdown

Cleveland and Detroit play a winner-take-all Game 7 tonight. See how Kalshi prediction markets price the Eastern Conference Finals with New York as heavy

May 17, 2026

$49K NO on "Will the Cleveland Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" at 98¢ (8:48:09 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $49,000 bet against Cleveland winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — pricing the outcome at just 3% — landed at 98¢ per NO contract at 8:48 PM ET.

May 17, 2026

$82K NO on "Will the Cleveland Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" at 99¢ (8:48:09 PM ET · Whale Watch)

An $82K bet against Cleveland winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — pricing the outcome at just ~3% — landed at 8:48 PM ET with no book liquidity to absorb it.

May 17, 2026

$84K NO on "Will Cleveland Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" at 99¢ (8:48:09 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $83,896 bet against Cleveland winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — pricing the outcome at just ~3% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.

May 17, 2026

Pistons Game 7 Odds on Kalshi: Can Cade Cunningham Cap His MVP-Caliber Season?

Detroit sits at 45% to beat Cleveland in Game 7 on Kalshi prediction markets. Here's what the odds say about Cade Cunningham's biggest career moment yet

May 17, 2026

$9K NO on Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? at 99¢ (8:45:17 PM ET · Whale Watch)

An $8,688 bet against Brian Kemp winning the 2028 Republican nomination — at 99¢ per NO contract — lands in a market pricing the outcome at just ~1%.

May 17, 2026

Pumas Host Pachuca Down 1-0: Kalshi Odds Give Slight Edge to Hosts

Pumas trail Pachuca 1-0 heading into tonight's second leg. Kalshi contracts put them at 41% to win — here's what the prediction market says to watch

May 17, 2026

$48K NO on "Will the Detroit Win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" at 97¢ (8:41:29 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $48,500 bet against Detroit winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — pricing the outcome at just ~3% — lands as the session's second-largest NO trade.

May 17, 2026

$26K YES on Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? at 51¢ (8:40:48 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $25,500 bet on Cleveland to win the 2026 NBA second-round series — pricing the outcome at ~51% — landed ahead of a surge of YES flow pushing the market to 53¢.

May 17, 2026

$153K YES on Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? at 51¢ (8:40:48 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $153,000 YES bet on Cleveland in the Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? market — pricing Cleveland's chances at ~51% — drove price from 50¢ to 52¢.

May 17, 2026

Dodgers' NL Pennant Odds in Focus After Sasaki's Breakout Start

Roki Sasaki's career-best outing has Kalshi's NL pennant market moving. Here's what the latest contract prices say about the Dodgers' October chances

May 17, 2026

$8K YES on Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-4? at 44¢ (8:29:29 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $8,437 YES bet on Thomas Massie winning the KY-4 Republican nomination — pricing the outcome at ~44% — arrived as the session-dominant trade in a heavily YES-skewed window.

May 17, 2026

$72K YES on Western Conference Finals Winner? at 72¢ (8:27:22 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $72,000 bet on the Colorado Avalanche winning the Western Conference Finals prices them at ~72% — driving the market 3¢ higher with no book liquidity to absorb it.

May 17, 2026

UFC 329 Buzz Builds: McGregor vs Holloway 2 Odds on Kalshi

Holloway trades at 76¢ and McGregor at 24¢ on Kalshi ahead of UFC 329. Here's what the prediction market odds say about their rematch on July 11 in Las Vegas

May 17, 2026

Wembanyama Quadruple Double Odds Sit at 3 Cents on Kalshi

Kalshi's Wembanyama quadruple-double contract trades at just 3 cents, implying a 3% chance before July 14 — here's what the market is watching in the playoffs

May 17, 2026

SGA's Back-to-Back MVP Makes This Kalshi Mention Market a Near-Lock

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander just won his second straight NBA MVP. A Kalshi contract on announcers saying "MVP" during Spurs vs Thunder is trading at 97 cents —

May 17, 2026

$32K YES on Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? at 38¢ (8:14:27 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $31,617 bet backs Cleveland to win the 2026 NBA second-round series over Detroit — pricing the outcome at ~38% on a market with no resting liquidity.

May 17, 2026

$32K YES on Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? at 64¢ (8:10:19 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $32,000 bet on Detroit to win the Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series — pricing the outcome at ~64% — landed without moving the needle at 64¢.

May 17, 2026

MacKinnon's Conn Smythe Odds Surge on Kalshi After Clutch Game 5 Goal

Nathan MacKinnon's Conn Smythe contract on Kalshi hit 36 cents after his clutch Game 5 tying goal.

May 17, 2026

$10K YES on Christopher Nolan Mentions "Actor / Cast" on 60 Minutes at 99¢ (8:06:58 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $9,900 conviction bet on Christopher Nolan saying "Actor / Cast" on 60 Minutes prices the outcome at ~99% — the session's largest single trade in this market.

May 17, 2026

SGA Wins Back-to-Back MVP, Now Kalshi Odds-On Favorite for Finals MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won his second straight NBA MVP — and Kalshi markets now price him at 56% to claim Finals MVP too. Here's what the contracts are saying

May 17, 2026

Mariners Try to Dodge Season Sweep: Kalshi Odds for Saturday Night

Kalshi has the Mariners at 42 cents to avoid a season sweep at home Saturday. See the latest prediction market odds, key catalysts, and what to watch before

May 17, 2026

New Kalshi Markets: Samsung Strike, Long Island Rail, Lauren Boebert — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:31:35 PM ET, May 17)

12 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 4 events.

May 17, 2026

Hull City's Premier League Odds: What the Kalshi Market Says Before the Playoff

Hull City face Southampton at Wembley with a Premier League place on the line. See what Kalshi prediction markets are pricing before the EFL Championship

May 17, 2026

$8K NO on Harden 6+ Assists / Mitchell 30+ Points / Harden 15+ Points / Cunningham 25+ Points / Cleveland Series Win / Over 211.5 Points Combo at 97¢ (5:38:24 PM ET · Whale Watch)

An $8,051 NO bet against a six-leg NBA parlay combo — pricing all legs hitting at just 3% — landed with zero price movement at 97¢.

May 17, 2026

$8K NO on Harden 6+ Assists / Mitchell 30+ Points / Harden 15+ Points / Cunningham 25+ Points / Cleveland Series Win / Over 211.5 Points Combo at 97¢ (5:38:14 PM ET · Whale Watch)

An $8,051 NO bet against a six-leg NBA parlay — pricing the combo at just ~3% — landed cleanly with zero price movement across back-to-back trades.

May 17, 2026

Avalanche Open as Heavy Kalshi Favorites in Western Conference Finals

Kalshi markets price Colorado at 71% to win the Western Conference Finals over Vegas. Here's what the prediction market data says before Game 1 Wednesday

May 17, 2026

$48K NO on Will Rory McIlroy Win the PGA Championship? at 96¢ (5:27:36 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $48,000 bet against Rory McIlroy winning the PGA Championship — pricing the outcome at just 4% — landed as the session's dominant trade, nudging YES up 1¢.

May 17, 2026

Mariners Call Up Top Prospect Emerson: World Series Odds on Kalshi

Seattle called up top prospect Colt Emerson as Brendan Donovan hits the IL. See how the Mariners' World Series contract on Kalshi reacts to the roster move

May 17, 2026

$36K NO on "Will Patrick Reed Win the PGA Championship?" at 100¢ (5:21:00 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $36,443 bet against Patrick Reed winning the PGA Championship — pricing the outcome at ~0% — landed on a market with no resting liquidity and zero price movement.

May 17, 2026

Cameron Smith's Coaching Gamble Has Prediction Market Traders Watching at the PGA

Cameron Smith fired his swing coach days before the PGA Championship and opened with a 69.

May 17, 2026

Sabres Force Game 7: Kalshi Odds Now Favor Buffalo to Win Series

Buffalo routed Montreal 8-3 in Game 6 to force a Game 7 showdown. Kalshi series contracts now put the Sabres as slight favorites at 53 cents to advance

May 17, 2026

Kalshi Odds Make McGregor a Heavy Underdog Against Holloway at UFC 329

Kalshi prediction markets give McGregor just a 23% chance against Max Holloway at UFC 329 on July 11, 2026. Here's what the contracts are pricing in

May 17, 2026

Real Madrid Favored Around 68 Cents on Kalshi for La Liga Finale vs Bilbao

Real Madrid are trading around 68 cents on Kalshi to win their La Liga finale at Bilbao on May 23 — here's what the prediction market spread reveals

May 17, 2026

Royals AL Central Odds Hold Steady on Kalshi After Kolek's Shutout Gem

Stephen Kolek's shutout kept Royals AL Central hopes alive, but Kalshi's market still prices Kansas City at just 14% — here's what traders are watching next

May 17, 2026

Mourinho Back to Real Madrid? Kalshi Odds Surge to 90 Cents

Kalshi's prediction market puts José Mourinho at 90% odds to become Real Madrid's next manager. Here's what the contract data says and what to watch next

May 17, 2026

PSG Odds Hold Steady at 58 Cents on Kalshi as Champions League Final Nears

PSG are trading at 58 cents on Kalshi, implying a 58% chance they win the Champions League final on May 30 — here's what's moving the market

May 17, 2026

Avalanche Favored at 71 Cents on Kalshi to Win Western Conference Finals

Kalshi has the Colorado Avalanche favored at 71 cents to win the NHL Western Conference Finals over Vegas — here's what the market is pricing in ahead of Game 1

May 17, 2026

PGA Championship Playoff Odds Surge on Kalshi as Aronimink Leaderboard Bunches

Kalshi's PGA Championship playoff contract hit 59 cents as Aronimink's bunched leaderboard raises real extra-holes odds — here's what the market is pricing in

May 17, 2026

NBA 3-0 Comeback Odds Hold Near Zero on Kalshi as Playoffs Push Deeper

Kalshi's NBA 3-0 comeback contract sits at 1 cent — a 1% implied probability. Here's what the market data and playoff history say about the chances

May 17, 2026

Reddick Wins Segment 2, but Kalshi Odds Still Favor Hamlin for All-Star Race

Tyler Reddick won Segment 2 of the NASCAR All-Star Race, but Kalshi's market still has Denny Hamlin as the heavy favorite at 48 cents heading into the final

May 17, 2026

SGA's Back-to-Back MVP Is Locked In on Kalshi at 99 Cents

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won his second straight NBA MVP and his Kalshi contract sits at 99 cents. Here's what traders should know before the market settles

May 17, 2026

$50K NO on "Will Patrick Reed Win the PGA Championship?" at 100¢ (3:48:29 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $50,002 bet against Patrick Reed winning the 2026 PGA Championship — pricing the outcome at ~0% — landed as the session's largest single trade at 3:48 PM ET.

May 17, 2026

$12K YES on No Cleveland Win by 14.5+, No OKC Win by 16.5+, Over 196.5 & Over 205.5 Points Scored at 48¢ (3:36:48 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $11,580 four-leg parlay bet — pricing the combined outcome at ~48¢ — demands no blowouts from either Cleveland or OKC while both totals clear in Game 7 and the San Antonio opener.

May 17, 2026

$90K NO on Will Scottie Scheffler Win the PGA Championship? at 100¢ (3:10:05 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $89,910 bet against Scottie Scheffler winning the PGA Championship — pricing the outcome at ~0% — cleared a market already drained of liquidity.

May 17, 2026

$38K NO on "Will Harris English Win the PGA Championship?" at 99¢ (3:04:02 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $37,511 bet against Harris English winning the PGA Championship — pricing the outcome at ~1% — landed at 99¢ per NO contract with no book liquidity to push back.

May 17, 2026

$28K NO on "Will Min Woo Lee Win the PGA Championship?" at 100¢ (2:57:13 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $27,972 bet against Min Woo Lee winning the PGA Championship — pricing his odds at ~0% — entered a market with no liquidity and zero open interest.

May 17, 2026

$15K NO on Will the U.S. Confirm That Aliens Exist Before 2027? at 86¢ (2:28:29 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $14,761 bet against U.S. alien confirmation before 2027 — pricing the outcome at ~14% — lands on a market with no resting liquidity and strong NO-side flow.

May 17, 2026

$27K NO on Will Chris Gotterup Win the PGA Championship? at 98¢ (2:25:01 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $27,360 bet against Chris Gotterup winning the PGA Championship — pricing the outcome at just ~2% — led a 37-minute, $64,564 session as the largest single trade.

May 17, 2026

$27K NO on "Will Joaquin Niemann Win the PGA Championship?" at 98¢ (2:22:36 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $26,739 bet against Joaquin Niemann winning the PGA Championship — pricing the outcome at just ~2% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.

May 17, 2026

$32K NO on Will Scottie Scheffler win the PGA Championship? at 99¢ (1:55:17 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $31,776 bet against Scottie Scheffler winning the PGA Championship — pricing the outcome at ~1% — absorbed cleanly with zero price movement at 99¢ per NO contract.

May 17, 2026

$25K YES on Boston vs Atlanta Winner? at 59¢ (1:15:33 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $25,147 YES bet on Atlanta in the "Boston vs Atlanta Winner?" market prices the outcome at ~59% — pushing the contract up 1¢ to 59¢.

May 17, 2026

$37K NO on Will Casper Ruud Win the ATP Rome? at 99¢ (12:55:11 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $36,747 bet against Casper Ruud winning the ATP Rome — pricing the outcome at ~3% — landed as YES-side flow pushed the market from 2¢ to 3¢.

May 17, 2026

$18K NO on Cade Cunningham 5+ Threes / Duncan Robinson 5+ Threes / Donovan Mitchell 4+ Assists / Cade Cunningham 6+ Assists / Donovan Mitchell 20+ Points / James Harden 15+ Points Combo at 99¢ (12:39:26 PM ET · Whale Watch)

An $18,425 NO bet against a six-leg NBA parlay combo prices the combined outcome at essentially 0% — 18,518 contracts at 99¢ each.

May 17, 2026

$99K NO on Will Casper Ruud Win the ATP Rome? at 99¢ (12:26:22 PM ET · Whale Watch)

A $99,000 bet against Casper Ruud winning ATP Rome — pricing the outcome at just ~1% — drove YES down 2¢ in under four minutes.

May 17, 2026

⚡ News Roundup — 170 Stories (as of 11:59 AM ET, May 17)

170 stories from 15 sources in the past 3 hours.

May 17, 2026

⚡ News Roundup: 170 Stories from 15 Outlets — Past 3h (as of 11:59 AM ET, May 17)

170 stories from 15 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.

May 17, 2026

$29K YES on Miami vs Tampa Bay Winner? at 58¢ (11:37:15 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $29,000 bet on Tampa Bay in the "Miami vs Tampa Bay Winner?" market — pricing the outcome at ~57% — landed at 58¢ with zero price movement.

May 17, 2026

$27K YES on Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? at 65¢ (11:22:40 AM ET · Whale Watch)

A $27,425 bet on Detroit winning the 2026 second-round series — pricing the outcome at ~65% — landed on a market that absorbed the entire block without moving a cent.