May 29, 2026
476 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 45 events.
199 stories from 18 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.
A taker landed on the NO side of the J.B. Pritzker 2028 Democratic nominee market at 97¢, sizing $5,153 against a ~3% implied probability in a market with no recorded volume.
A taker landed on NO at 98¢ across 21,929 contracts, sizing $21,600 against J.B. Pritzker winning the 2028 presidency — a market sitting near 1–2¢ YES.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will Rajasthan Royals win the IPL?" at 80¢ — sizing $32,000 across 40,000 contracts as YES slid to 21¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 20¢, sizing $6K on Marco Rubio winning the next presidential election — landing on a market holding flat at 19¢.
A taker landed on the YES side of yes Atlanta,yes Tampa Bay,yes New York Y at 20¢, sizing $9K across 45,193 contracts in a zero-liquidity parlay market.
397 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 63 events.
May 28, 2026
282 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 52 events.
216 stories from 19 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.
A taker stepped up on YES at 90¢, sizing $6,300 on Byron Donalds winning the Florida Republican gubernatorial nomination — landing on a market already up 2¢ on the session.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" at 79¢, sizing 6,896 contracts worth $5,448 against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on the NO side of a 10-leg NBA combo parlay at 100¢, sizing $9,072 across 9,090 contracts — pricing the full parlay hit at near-zero.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Victor Wembanyama Quadruple Double market at 99¢, sizing $26K against the outcome happening before July 14, 2026.
A taker landed on the NO side of a 10-leg NBA combo parlay at 100¢, sizing $9,072 across SGA, Wembanyama, and four others with NO at ~99.7¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market at 76¢ — 25,000 contracts totaling $19,000 — as sustained NO flow pushed Spencer Pratt's implied odds down to 24%.
A taker landed on the YES side of "Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner?" at 60¢, sizing $30,000 on a San Antonio win in this NBA playoff matchup.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles mayoral winner market at 74¢, sizing $37,000 across 50,000 contracts against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on NO at 100¢, sizing $9,072 against a 10-leg NBA parlay combo — the market prices the full slate hitting at near-zero probability.
A taker landed on NO at 100¢, sizing $13,609 against a 10-leg NBA combo parlay hitting — market prices YES at just 0.2¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election at 74¢, sizing $5,178 across 6,997 contracts against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayor market at 74¢, sizing $7,400 against Spencer Pratt winning — with YES slipping to 26¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of a 10-leg NBA combo parlay at 100¢, sizing $8,165 against a market already pricing YES near zero.
132 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 24 events.
May 27, 2026
361 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 39 events.
221 stories from 19 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.
A taker stepped up on YES at 80¢, sizing $47K on Los Angeles D winning — landing on the dominant side of a session already running 97% YES flow.
A taker stepped up on YES at 32¢, sizing $9,514 on the "yes Pittsburgh,yes New York Y" combo parlay — landing in a market up 2¢ from session open.
A taker landed on the NO side of Hideki Matsuyama leading after Round 1 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, stepping up on 30,000 contracts at 98¢ against a ~2% implied YES.
A taker landed on the NO side of Robert MacIntyre leading Round 1 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, stepping up with 50,000 contracts at 98¢ — sizing $48,800 into a market at ~2% YES.
A taker stepped up on YES at 51¢, sizing $25,500 on the "Tampa Bay vs Baltimore Winner?" outcome — landing on Tampa Bay to win in a market holding flat at 51¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed hike market at 99¢, sizing $13,875 across 14,015 contracts — YES sitting at just 1¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Fed June 2026 rate cut market at 99¢, sizing $14,850 across 15,000 contracts in a market with no prior volume.
A taker stepped up on YES at 96¢, sizing $9,594 on the Fed holding rates at its June 2026 meeting — landing in a market with no resting liquidity and price unchanged.
A taker landed on YES at 52¢, sizing $9,552 on "yes Los Angeles D, no Over 10.5 runs scored, no Over 8.5 goals scored" — a combo parlay closing May 30.
A taker stepped up on YES at 60¢, sizing $5K on Republicans winning the Texas Senate race — landing in a session already running 95% YES-side flow.
A taker landed on YES at 97¢, sizing $25K on Casper Ruud winning his Round of 64 French Open match — as price ticked up 1¢ over a strong YES-dominated session.
A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Federal Reserve 25bps cut market at 97¢, stepping up with 5,549 contracts totaling $5,383.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Fed June 2026 >25bps cut outcome at 99¢, sizing $9,684 across 9,782 contracts in a market pricing the event at just 1%.
A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed hike market at 99¢ — sizing $9,900 across 10,000 contracts against a ~1% implied probability.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 390?" at 96¢, sizing $9,600 across 10,000 contracts.
A taker landed on NO at 96¢ on the S&P 500 above 7,524.9999 outcome, sizing $6,085 across 6,339 contracts as YES collapsed to a 4% implied probability.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?" — 50,000 contracts at 86¢, sizing $43,000 as YES slipped to 14¢.
A taker landed on YES at 68¢ on U.S. gasoline CPI clearing 380 in May 2026, sizing $6,723 across 9,887 contracts into a market with no resting liquidity.
A taker landed on YES at 66¢, sizing $6,719 on the Nasdaq-100 closing in the 29,900–29,999.99 range — in a market that has run 59¢ off session lows.
A taker stepped up on YES at 52¢, sizing $26K on the "Arizona vs San Francisco Winner?" outcome — landing on Arizona to win in a zero-slippage fill.
241 stories from 18 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.
A taker stepped up on YES at 44¢, sizing $88,000 on the Vegas Golden Knights winning the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals — landing on a market up 4¢ over 24 hours.
A taker landed on NO at 85¢ across 6,752 contracts, sizing $5,739 against the Nasdaq-100 closing above 29,979.99 — hitting a market already down 31¢ from session open.
A taker stepped up on NO at 51¢ across 81,031 contracts on the Hurricanes winning the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, landing on the side that wins if Carolina falls short.
A taker stepped up on YES at 51¢, sizing $25,500 on Tampa Bay to win against Baltimore — the session's largest single trade by a wide margin.
A taker landed on the NO side of the S&P 500 above 7,524.9999 outcome at 36¢, sizing $5,423 across 15,063 contracts against a 67% YES-implied market.
A taker stepped up on YES at 96¢, sizing $119K on the Fed holding rates at its June 2026 meeting — landing on a market already printing at session highs.
A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed 25bps cut outcome at 97¢, sizing $5,383 across 5,549 contracts in a market pricing the event at just 3%.
A taker landed on YES at 60¢, sizing $5,500 on WTI crude settling below $91.00 on May 29 — hitting a market already up 19¢ on the session.
A taker landed on the NO side of "BTC price up in next 15 mins?" at 97¢ — 27,175 contracts totaling $26K against a ~5% YES market closing at 2:00 PM ET.
A taker stepped up on YES at 30¢, landing 89,180 contracts worth $26,754 on New York winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — the book held firm with no price movement.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will the President be impeached before Jun 1, 2026?" at 100¢, sizing $9,990 into a market pricing the event at ~0%.
A taker stepped up on YES at 100¢, sizing $9,980 on Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Aug 1, 2026 — a market already pricing the outcome at ~99%.
A taker stepped up on YES at 99¢, sizing $9,405 on Trump saying "Trump" during the Cabinet Meeting — landing on a market already priced at near-certainty.
A taker landed on the YES side of "yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D" at 46¢, sizing $13,597 across 29,240 contracts in this combo parlay market.
A taker stepped up on YES at 99¢, sizing $27K on Djokovic winning his Round of 64 match — landing in a market already pressing session highs.
A taker stepped up on YES at 92¢, sizing $55,200 on Mirra Andreeva winning her French Open Round of 64 match — landing on a market already down 2¢ from session highs.
A taker landed on the NO side of the "Peace" outcome at 99¢, sizing $12,375 across 12,500 contracts in the Trump Cabinet Meeting market.
A taker stepped up on YES at 19¢, sizing $9K on yes Cleveland, yes Arizona, yes Philadelphia — a three-leg parlay combo in a zero-liquidity market.
A taker landed on the YES side of "Iran (5+ times)" at 99¢, sizing $9,900 on Trump naming Iran five-plus times at his Cabinet Meeting.
A taker landed on the YES side of the Rafael Jodar French Open Round of 64 win market, stepping up on 29,827 contracts at 93¢ as price rose 5¢ on the session.
A taker stepped up on YES at 46¢, sizing $8,599 on "yes Toronto, yes Los Angeles D" — a two-leg esports combo parlay on a market holding flat across 28 trades.
A taker stepped up on YES at 79¢, sizing $30,123 on the "Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner?" outcome — landing on the winning side if Los Angeles D takes the game.
A taker landed on the YES side of Trump Cabinet Meeting "250" at 99¢, sizing $15,644 across 15,802 contracts on the event resolving YES.
A taker landed on NO at 99¢ across 11,047 contracts, sizing $10,937 against the "Event does not qualify" outcome in Trump's Cabinet Meeting market — YES pinned at 1¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 58¢, sizing $13K on Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? — landing on the side that wins if a Republican is sworn in for the 2027 term.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Event does not qualify" at 98¢, sizing 10,000 contracts for $9,800 on the Trump Cabinet Meeting mentions market.
A taker stepped up on the YES side of Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? at 27¢, landing 34,482 contracts totaling $9,310 on Spencer Pratt.
A taker landed on the NO side of Dallas's max-temp-under-79° outcome at 94¢, sizing $6,191 across 6,586 contracts in a market showing no resting liquidity.
A taker stepped up on YES at 59¢ in the Miami vs Toronto Winner? market, sizing $29K on Toronto to win the May 27 game.
A taker landed on the YES side of the "yes Milwaukee, yes New York Y, yes Los Angeles D" parlay at 27¢, sizing 47,279 contracts for $12,954 in a market with no resting liquidity.
A taker landed on the YES side of Zverev winning his Round of 64 French Open match at 88¢, sizing 40,000 contracts for $35,200.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Above 3.75%" at 98¢, sizing $8,010 against the federal funds rate exceeding 3.75% after the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting.
255 stories from 17 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Western Conference Finals MVP?" at 95¢, sizing $34,804 across 36,636 contracts against Alex Caruso winning the award.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market at 100¢, sizing $60K against Adam Miller winning — with YES priced at effectively 0¢.
A taker landed on the YES side of Ken Paxton, 20%+ at 100¢, sizing $9,401 into a market already pinned at the ceiling with no resting liquidity.
508 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 57 events.
May 26, 2026
210 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 37 events.
208 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 35 events.
A taker landed on NO at 98¢, sizing $6,417 against Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal before June 1 — with YES bid at just 1.6¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Nasdaq-100 above 29,999.99 market at 70¢, sizing $9,869 across 14,098 contracts with YES sitting at 33¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 76¢, sizing $9,834 on "no Oklahoma City wins by over 18.5 points, yes Over 200.5 points scored" — landing as the session's largest trade with price up 3¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 75¢, sizing $15K on the S&P 500 clearing 7,510 at 3pm ET — landing into a market already up 60¢ on the session.
A taker landed on YES at 96¢, sizing $25K on Francisco Comesana winning the Quinn vs Comesana Round Of 128 match — entering a market up 12¢ on the session.
A taker landed on the NO side at 67¢, sizing $16,750 across 25,000 contracts against Brent crude closing above $100.99 on May 29 — YES implied at ~34%.
A taker landed on the NO side of Strait of Hormuz normal traffic before Jun 15, 2026 at 91¢, sizing $5,296 across 5,820 contracts.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market at 74¢, sizing 15,246 contracts totaling $11,282 against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker stepped up on YES at 30¢, sizing $35K on New York winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals — landing on a book that held firm with no price movement.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will average gas prices be above $4.60?" — 5,555 contracts at 99¢, totaling $5,499 against a 1% YES market.
A taker landed on the NO side of Tucker Carlson winning the 2028 Republican nomination at 94¢, sizing $5,432 into a market pricing the outcome at ~6%.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will John Cornyn be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?" at 96¢, sizing $9,610 across 10,000 contracts as YES slipped to 4¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of "When Will SpaceX IPO?" at 98¢, sizing $9,800 across 10,000 contracts against a 2% YES market.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles mayoral winner market at 74¢, sizing $9,250 across 12,500 contracts against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on YES at 80¢ on Cerundolo winning his French Open Round of 128 match against Fearnley, sizing $31,512 into a market that has climbed 4¢ on the session.
A taker landed on the YES side of "no Boston wins by over 3.5 runs, no Over 12.5 runs scored" at 73¢, sizing 13,478 contracts for $9,785 on the combo parlay.
A taker landed on the YES side of "Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner?" at 61¢ — 79,487 contracts, $48,487 total, with no price movement on the fill.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Senate reconciliation bill market at 99¢, sizing $9,431 across 9,526 contracts with YES priced at just 1¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of crypto market structure legislation becoming law before June 1, 2026, stepping up with 7,711 contracts at 99¢ on Kalshi.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election at 74¢, sizing 12,558 contracts worth $9,293 against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on the NO side of WTI minimum settle reaching $90.01 by May 29, 2026 — 25,000 contracts at 30¢ against a 72% YES market.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner?" at 61¢, sizing $26,500 across 43,442 contracts — the NO side wins if San Antonio does not win.
A taker landed on the NO side at 74¢ on "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" — 10,570 contracts, $7,822 total, against a 27¢ YES implied probability.
303 stories from 18 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.
A taker landed on YES at 78¢, sizing $28,128 on Alexander Bublik winning his Round of 128 match — stepping into a strongly YES-skewed book up 1¢ on the session.
A taker stepped up on YES at 67¢, sizing $6,205 on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal before Oct 1, 2026 — landing into a market already down 4¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of Greg Abbott → John Cornyn at 100¢, sizing $5,494 on Abbott not endorsing Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff.
A taker landed on NO at 100¢, sizing $6,180 against Trump endorsing both Cornyn and Paxton in the Texas Republican Senate runoff — a market priced at ~0% YES.
A taker stepped up on NO at 100¢, landing on the "Donald Trump → John Cornyn" side of the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff endorsement market for $18,981.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win the governorship in California?" at 90¢, sizing $9,050 across 10,000 contracts against Steve Hilton winning.
22 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 5 events.
May 25, 2026
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will Luke Clanton win the Charles Schwab Challenge?" at 100¢, sizing $34K across 33,954 contracts in a market priced at ~0% YES.
A taker landed on the NO side of Strait of Hormuz traffic "Before Jun 1, 2026" at 98¢ — 7,630 contracts totaling $7,455 against a 2% YES market.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Cleveland 2026 Eastern Conference Championship market at 98¢, sizing $159K against Cleveland winning — with YES priced near 2¢.