May 25, 2026
A taker landed on YES at 98¢, sizing $247K on New York winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Championship — 251,612 contracts into a dry book with no slippage.
A taker landed on the YES side of "Game 4: New York at Cleveland Winner?" at 47¢, sizing 89,000 contracts for $41,830 on a Cleveland win.
A taker landed on YES at 49¢ for 131,497 contracts on "New York wins by over 2.5 points?" in Game 4 New York at Cleveland — price slipped 1¢ to 48¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 55¢, sizing $27,500 on New York winning Game 4 against Cleveland — landing on a market holding flat with no prior volume.
A taker landed on the NO side of Oklahoma City winning the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals, crossing 80,433 contracts at 53¢ — implying a 47% YES probability.
A taker landed on the YES side of "Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner?" at 75¢, sizing 38,961 contracts for $29,221 — nudging the price down 1¢ to 74¢.
A taker landed on the YES side of "New York wins by over 2.5 points?" at 49¢, sizing 52,941 contracts worth $25,941 into a market already down 1¢ on the session.
A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed hike market at 99¢, sizing 6,424 contracts — NO wins if the Fed does not hike 25bps.
A taker stepped up on YES at 55¢, sizing $27K on New York winning Game 4 against Cleveland — landing on a market already absorbing strong YES flow.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles mayoral winner market at 74¢, sizing 7,028 contracts — $5,201 against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on NO at 94¢ on "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" — sizing $7,560 against Nithya Raman winning, with YES implied at ~5%.
A taker stepped up on NO at 66¢, sizing $26,400 against Carolina winning by over 1.5 goals in Game 3 — the NO side wins if the margin stays at 1.5 or under.
A taker landed on the YES side of "Game 3: Carolina at Montreal Winner?" at 43¢, sizing 166,895 contracts worth $71,765 on a Montreal Canadiens victory.
19 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 5 events.
A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed hike market at 99¢, sizing $14,850 across 15,000 contracts in a market pricing just a 1% chance of a 25bps hike.
A taker stepped up on YES at 55¢, sizing $27,500 on New York winning Game 4 against Cleveland — landing on the largest trade in a strong YES-dominated two-minute window.
A taker stepped up on YES at 19¢, sizing $9,459 on the "yes Washington, yes A's" combo parlay — a two-leg esports market implying an 18% probability.
A taker landed on the YES side of "Game 4: New York at Cleveland Winner?" at 46¢, sizing $25,549 on Cleveland — price held firm at 46¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" at 100¢, sizing $9,990 across 10,000 contracts in a market priced at ~0% YES.
A taker landed on the NO side of Ed Gallrein's "Below 39%" outcome at 99¢, sizing 20,000 contracts totaling $19,800 — market implies just 1% probability for the YES resolve.
A taker landed on the NO side of a 12-leg NBA combo parlay at 100¢, sizing $11,340 against all legs hitting — a market priced at ~0% YES.
A taker landed on the NO side of the California governor race at 98¢ — sizing $8,349 against Chad Bianco winning, with YES pinned near 2¢.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" at 94¢, sizing $18,466 across 19,666 contracts against Nithya Raman winning.
A taker landed on NO at 74¢, sizing $11,100 against Spencer Pratt winning the Los Angeles Mayoral Election — crossing as price dipped 1¢ to 26¢ implied.
30 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 9 events.
May 24, 2026
12 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 5 events.
May 23, 2026
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will Arthur Fils win the French Open?" — stepping up with 27,827 contracts at 98¢, sizing $27K against a 2% YES.
A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed 25bps cut outcome at 98¢, sizing $10,285 across 10,495 contracts in a market pricing the event at just 2%.
115 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 31 events.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Colorado Avalanche 2025-26 Stanley Cup market at 84¢, sizing $42,000 across 50,000 contracts against a 16% implied probability.
May 22, 2026
A taker stepped up on YES at 51¢, sizing $25K on Over 218.5 points scored in Game 3 — Oklahoma City at San Antonio — as price climbed 2¢ on heavy YES-side flow.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Game 3: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner?" at 54¢, sizing $43,623 across 80,783 contracts as YES slipped to 46¢.
A taker landed on the YES side of "San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points?" at 48¢, sizing 83,555 contracts for $40,106 with price holding flat.
A taker stepped up on YES at 52¢, sizing $26,000 on Seattle winning against Kansas City — landing on a book that held flat with zero slippage.
A taker landed on YES at 16¢, sizing $557K on Osasuna's relegation from La Liga — crossing into a market that has surged from 4¢ to 16¢ this session.
A taker stepped up on YES at 52¢, sizing $43,198 on "Seattle vs Kansas City Winner?" — landing on the Seattle side of a market holding flat at 52¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 56¢, sizing $60,707 on Baltimore winning the Detroit vs Baltimore Winner? market — landing on a book already holding firm at 56¢.
223 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 45 events.
A taker stepped up on YES at 47¢, sizing $13,814 across a four-leg sports combo parlay hitting a market with no prior volume.
A taker stepped up on YES at 50¢, sizing $25,000 on the "Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee Winner?" outcome — landing on the YES side as price held firm at 50¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 65¢, sizing $32,500 on the "Washington vs Atlanta Winner?" outcome — landing on Atlanta to win in a market already down 4¢ from prior session levels.
A taker stepped up on NO at 98¢, sizing $13K against Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — market prices the event at roughly 2–3%.
A taker stepped up on YES at 63¢, sizing $29,610 on the "Cleveland vs Philadelphia Winner?" outcome — landing on the Philadelphia side as the price ticked to 63¢.
228 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 45 events.
263 stories from 20 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.
A taker stepped up on YES at 35¢, sizing $8,083 on "yes Atlanta, yes San Antonio" — a two-leg combo parlay crossing Washington/Atlanta and Oklahoma City/San Antonio.
A taker stepped up on YES at 60¢ in the "Pittsburgh vs Toronto Winner?" market, sizing $29K on Toronto — landing on a book that held steady with zero slippage.
A taker stepped up on YES at 65¢, sizing $32,500 on Atlanta winning in the "Washington vs Atlanta Winner?" market — with price holding steady through the fill.
A taker landed on the YES side of Osasuna's La Liga relegation at 17¢, sizing $591,600 into a market that had already surged 13¢ from session lows.
A $5,802 bet against Donald Trump winning the 2028 presidential election — pricing the outcome at ~3% — hit a market with zero resting liquidity.
A $8,582 YES bet on "no San Antonio wins by over 7.5 points, no Over 224.5 points scored" prices the dual-leg outcome at ~45¢ with no market movement on entry.
A $37,950 bet on Oklahoma City winning Game 3 against San Antonio prices the Thunder at ~46% — the largest single trade in a session dominated by YES flow.
A $8,611 YES bet on Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jul 1, 2026 — pricing the outcome at ~97% — landed on a market with no resting liquidity.
A $9,249 YES bet on "yes Atlanta, yes Texas, yes Arizona" — pricing the three-leg parlay at ~27% — drove the market up 2¢ on zero resting liquidity.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will Jared Polis be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?" at 100¢, sizing $24,925 into a market with no prior volume or open interest.
A $24,925 bet against Jared Polis winning the 2028 Democratic nomination — pricing the outcome near 0% — landed into a market with zero open interest and no resting liquidity.
A taker landed on the NO side of "When will SpaceX IPO?" at 98¢, sizing $9,188 across 9,376 contracts — with the market pricing YES at just 2¢.
A $9,188 bet against a SpaceX IPO announcement before June 1 — pricing the outcome at just 2% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.
A taker stepped up on YES at 55¢, sizing $27,500 on San Antonio winning Game 3 against Oklahoma City — price held firm with zero slippage.
A $27,500 YES bet on San Antonio winning Game 3 against Oklahoma City — pricing the outcome at ~55% — filled 50,000 contracts without moving the 55¢ line.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Will average gas prices be above $4.540?" at 92¢ — 5,482 contracts totaling $5,043 — with YES implied at just 5%.
A $5,043 bet against gas prices exceeding $4.540 on May 23 — pricing YES at just ~8% — landed in a zero-liquidity market with no resting orders.
A taker landed on YES at 68¢, sizing $5,099 on the S&P 500 finishing between 7,475 and 7,499.9999 at 4pm EDT — into a market with no prior volume.
A $5,099 YES bet on the S&P 500 landing in the 7,475–7,499.9999 range by 4pm today prices the outcome at ~68% on a market that opened the session at 16¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 98¢, sizing $7,840 on the federal funds rate staying above 3.50% after the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting — 8,000 contracts into a dry book.
An $7,840 YES bet on the federal funds rate staying above 3.50% through June 2026 — implying ~98% confidence — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.
A $5,158 bet against Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — pricing the outcome at ~3% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.
A $7,025 NO bet against John Cornyn winning the Texas Republican Senate nomination prices the outcome at just ~5% — in a market that didn't budge.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Cornyn Texas Senate nomination market at 95¢, sizing $7K across 7,395 contracts — the NO side wins if Cornyn does not take the nomination.
A taker landed on NO at 96¢, sizing $8,327 against Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — with YES holding near 4¢ implied probability.
A taker landed on the NO side at 97¢ for $9,305, crossing into the Gabbard-out-before-Jun-1 market with the event priced at just 3% on the YES side.
A $9,305 bet against Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — pricing the outcome at just ~3% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.
A $5,866 YES bet on Byron Donalds as Florida's Republican governor nominee locks in at 88¢ — implying ~88% odds — on a market with no resting liquidity.
A $55,093 YES bet on Houston in the "Houston vs Chicago C Winner?" market locks in 125,211 contracts at 44¢, pricing Houston's chances at roughly 44%.
A $25,200 bet against Alex de Minaur winning the ATP Hamburg Semifinal — pricing the outcome at just 2% — drove YES down 4¢ in under a minute.
A $9,580 NO bet against Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — pricing the outcome at ~4% — landed as YES slipped 1¢ across the session.
A taker landed on NO at 98¢ across 24,740 contracts, sizing $24,245 against Gabbard departing as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — the NO side wins if she stays.
A taker landed on the NO side at 97¢ — 8,194 contracts, $7,948 — on Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026, with YES priced at just 3¢.
A taker stepped up on YES at 99¢, sizing $12K on Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Aug 1, 2026 — landing on a market already up 75¢ on the session.
A $11,704 YES bet on Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Aug 1, 2026 — pricing the outcome at ~98% — landed at 99¢ on a market that surged 75¢ in a single session.
A taker landed on NO at 98¢ across 18,080 contracts, sizing $17,700 against Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — hitting a market already down 2¢ on the session.
A $17,700 bet against Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — pricing the outcome at just 2% — closed out a five-minute NO sweep that drove YES from 5¢ to 2¢.
A taker landed on the YES side of Tulsi Gabbard leaving Trump's Cabinet next, stepping up at 93¢ on a market that has surged 53¢ over the session.
A taker stepped up on YES at 97¢ for 10,000 contracts on Tulsi Gabbard leaving as DNI before Jun 1, 2026 — crossing into a market with an 11¢ spread and zero resting liquidity.
A $5,307 YES bet on the Nasdaq-100 clearing 29,580 at 1pm EDT prices the outcome at ~65% — even as the market slid 6¢ from session open.
A taker stepped up on YES at 65¢, sizing $5,307 on the Nasdaq-100 closing above 29,579.99 at 1pm ET — crossing into a market already down 6¢ from session open.
A $28K bet against a SpaceX IPO announcement before June 1 — pricing the outcome at just 2–3% — landed in a market with zero resting liquidity.
A taker stepped up on NO at 97¢, sizing $28K against a SpaceX IPO announcement before Jun 1 — landing on a market already priced at just 2¢ YES.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles mayoral race at 74¢ — 12,706 contracts, $9,402 total — with YES slipping to 26¢ on the session.
247 stories from 18 sources in the past 3 hours.
An $8K bet on Mamdani's luxury second-home tax becoming law by year-end prices the outcome at ~91% on a market with no competing liquidity.
A $8,820 bet against a 25bps Fed cut in June 2026 — pricing the outcome at just ~2% — landed in a market with zero open interest and no resting liquidity.
313 stories from 20 outlets in the past 3 hours — top headlines, a scannable headline list, and the full breakdown.
A $15,800 YES bet on the S&P 500 clearing 7,480 at 11am ET — pricing the outcome at ~79% — lands as the market surges 39¢ in under an hour.
A $15,800 YES bet on the S&P 500 clearing 7,480 — pricing the outcome at ~79% — dwarfed a book with just 25 contracts of visible depth at execution.
A $9,803 YES bet across three simultaneous no-cover legs — baseball, basketball, and hockey — prices the combined outcome at ~71% on Kalshi.
A $19,000 YES bet on the S&P 500 clearing 7,480 at 10am — pricing the outcome at ~95% — landed as the market surged 43¢ in under an hour.
A $5,439 YES bet on Democrats winning the House in 2026 — pricing the outcome at ~76% — landed as the market ticked down 1¢ from session highs.
A $7,600 YES bet on Democrats winning the House in 2026 — pricing the outcome at ~76% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity and a 1¢ price decline.
A $10,946 bet against Restore Britain winning the 2026 Makerfield by-election — pricing the outcome at just ~7% — lands as the market's largest single trade on record.
A $22,086 NO bet against Byron Donalds winning the 2028 Republican nomination — pricing YES at ~0% — hit a book with 119,633 contracts resting at 99.4¢.
A $22,086 bet against Byron Donalds winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination — pricing the outcome near 0% — entered a market with no resting liquidity.
A $38K NO bet against Eric Trump winning the 2028 Republican nomination — priced at ~0% YES — lands as the session's largest single NO fill.
A $38,045 bet against Eric Trump winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination — pricing the outcome near 0% — landed in a market with no resting liquidity.
232 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 39 events.
A $9,140 NO bet against Nithya Raman winning the LA mayoral race — pricing her at ~9% — swept through multiple order book levels at 91¢.
A $53,000 bet on Royal Challengers Bengaluru to win — pricing the outcome at ~53% — landed on a market with no resting liquidity and zero prior volume.
A $53,000 YES-side bet on Royal Challengers Bengaluru to win — pricing the outcome at ~53% — hit a book showing 171,026 YES bid contracts across five levels.
A $19,859 YES-side bet on both NBA totals clearing — priced at 72¢ implied probability — hit a book with zero YES-side resting depth.
A $6,792 YES bet on Karen Bass winning the Los Angeles Mayoral Election prices the outcome at ~68% as the session price climbed 2¢ to 68¢.
A $19,537 YES bet on San Antonio not winning by 23.5-plus and the total clearing 200.5 — pricing the parlay at ~84¢ — absorbed with zero slippage.
A $12,704 YES bet on Ken Paxton winning the Texas Republican Senate nomination prices the outcome at ~95% — with no resting liquidity to absorb it.
A $27,329 YES bet on Chicago C winning — pricing the outcome at ~56% — landed at 57¢ on a market that absorbed 47,946 contracts without moving a tick.
An $8,268 NO bet against Drake landing exactly 8 songs in the Billboard Hot 100 top 10 — pricing the outcome at ~1% — executed into a book with zero liquidity.
A $6,399 YES bet on Drake holding exactly 9 Billboard Hot 100 top-10 spots prices the outcome at ~96% — riding a 6-cent session surge from 90¢.
A $33,748 YES bet on Oklahoma City in "Game 3: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner?" locked in at 47¢ — implying a ~47% win probability — with zero price movement on the fill.
A $9,005 NO bet against Spencer Pratt in the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market prices his odds at ~27% — 12,169 contracts at 74¢.
A $11,100 NO bet against Spencer Pratt winning the Los Angeles Mayoral Election prices the outcome at ~27% — the largest single trade in a 2-hour, 200-trade session.
